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Eredivisie
Referee: B Kuipers
Groningen
S U S S T
1–1
Full-time
Vitesse
S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Groningen Vitesse
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
50%
83%
Points per game
1,7
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,3
3,2
Scored
1,2
2,3
Conceded
1,2
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+1,5
This season — Eredivisie · 8/8 matches
Win Ø 69%
50%
88%
Points per game
1,6
2,6
Over 2.5 Ø 57%
50%
63%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,4
2,8
Scored
1,1
2,1
Conceded
1,3
0,6
Goal diff per game
-0,1
+1,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

45% Possession 55%
7 Shots 9
3 Shots on target 1
1 Blocked shots 3
0 Goalkeeper saves 2
5 Corners 1
1 Offside 1
16 Free kicks against 10
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Groningen 7. · Vitesse 2.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Ajax 8 7 0 1 +27 21
2 Vitesse 8 7 0 1 +12 21
3 PSV Eindhoven 8 6 1 1 +14 19
4 Twente 8 5 2 1 +12 17
5 Feyenoord 7 5 2 0 +10 17
6 Heerenveen 8 5 1 2 +5 16
7 Groningen 8 4 1 3 -1 13
8 AZ Alkmaar 7 2 5 0 +6 11
9 Utrecht 7 2 3 2 -3 9
10 Heracles 8 2 2 4 -4 8
11 Willem II 9 2 2 5 -8 8
12 VVV Venlo 9 2 2 5 -14 8
13 Zwolle 8 1 4 3 -5 7
14 Sparta Rotterdam 7 1 2 4 -8 5
15 Waalwijk 8 1 2 5 -10 5
16 Den Haag 8 1 1 6 -12 4
17 FC Emmen 8 0 3 5 -10 3
18 For Sittard 8 0 3 5 -11 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Groningen Vitesse
1–0 P. Joosten
W. Dammers
29′
33′
🟨 Matúš Bero
45′
L. Openda 1–1
O. Tannane
Half-time 1–1
46′
🔁 T. Buitink
↦ T. Hájek
Bart Van Hintum 🟨
54′
Wessel Dammers 🟨
55′
M. El Hankouri 🔁
↦ P. Joosten
75′
R. Balk 🔁
↦ G. Gudmundsson
75′
81′
🔁 H. Gong
↦ L. Openda
81′
🔁 D. Huisman
↦ A. Broja
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Groningen

3-4-1-2
1 S. Padt G
3 B. van Hintum D
4 W. Dammers D
5 K. Itakura D
18 A. El Messaoudi F
6 A. Matusiwa M
26 D. van Kaam M
14 P. Joosten F
15 G. Gudmundsson M
9 J. Larsen F
33 J. van Kaam M
Bench (10)
11 M. El Hankouri
35 R. Balk
48 L. Miguel
24 N. Bertrams
25 J. de Boer
8 S. Schreck
32 T. Poll
7 R. Lundqvist
17 Migue Leal
31 T. Suslov

Coach: D. Buijs

Vitesse

3-5-2
22 R. Pasveer G
18 T. Hájek D
2 E. Dasa M
32 M. Wittek M
6 J. Rasmussen D
3 D. Doekhi D
21 M. Bero M
8 S. Tronstad M
14 O. Tannane M
7 L. Openda F
11 A. Broja F
Bench (9)
29 T. Buitink
17 H. Gong
40 D. Huisman
20 T. Bruns
9 O. Darfalou
23 B. Bayazit
24 J. Houwen
36 P. Vroegh
42 M. Manhoef

Coach: T. Letsch

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,92
U ✓
3,36
B
2,39
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,97
U2,5 ✓
1,83
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

B Kuipers · 20 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,1 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
21,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,10 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.