Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Niort
Dunkerque
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 1–2
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Paris FC
|
10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | +11 | 25 |
| 2 |
Caen
|
11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | +2 | 20 |
| 3 |
Troyes
|
10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | +8 | 18 |
| 4 |
Niort
|
9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 17 |
| 5 |
Clermont
|
10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | +6 | 16 |
| 6 |
Auxerre
|
10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | +4 | 16 |
| 7 |
Le Havre
|
11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | -2 | 16 |
| 8 |
Grenoble
|
8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | +5 | 15 |
| 9 |
Toulouse
|
10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | +3 | 15 |
| 10 |
Sochaux
|
10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | +1 | 14 |
| 11 |
Valenciennes
|
10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | +0 | 14 |
| 12 |
Dunkerque
|
10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | -1 | 13 |
| 13 |
Guingamp
|
10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 12 |
| 14 |
Nancy
|
9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | +0 | 11 |
| 15 |
Amiens
|
10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -1 | 11 |
| 16 |
Ajaccio
|
10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | -9 | 10 |
| 17 |
Pau FC
|
10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 9 |
| 18 |
Rodez
|
10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -9 | 9 |
| 19 |
Chateauroux
|
10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -5 | 8 |
| 20 | Chambly | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | -12 | 6 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Sochaux
Niort
Pau FC
Niort
Niort
Caen
Chateauroux
Niort
Niort
Paris FC
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.