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Süper Lig
Referee: Atilla Karaoglan
Denizlispor
T U S T T
0–1
Full-time
Gaziantep
U U S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Denizlispor Gaziantep
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,8
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 58%
33%
83%
Average goals
1,8
2,5
Scored
0,7
1,5
Conceded
1,2
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,5
This season — Süper Lig · 7/8 matches
Win Ø 20%
14%
25%
Points per game
0,7
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 47%
43%
50%
Both score Ø 66%
43%
88%
Average goals
2,4
2,9
Scored
0,7
1,5
Conceded
1,7
1,4
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+0,1
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

64% Possession 36%
13 Shots 11
4 Shots on target 5
1 Blocked shots 3
4 Goalkeeper saves 4
6 Corners 3
3 Offside 0
9 Free kicks against 16
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Denizlispor 20. · Gaziantep 8.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Alanyaspor 7 5 2 0 +13 17
2 Fenerbahce 8 5 2 1 +4 17
3 Galatasaray 8 5 1 2 +5 16
4 Karagumruk 9 3 4 2 +6 13
5 Buyuksehyr 8 4 1 3 +2 13
6 Kasimpasa 8 3 3 2 +2 12
7 Rizespor 7 3 2 2 +2 11
8 Gaziantep 8 2 5 1 +1 11
9 Yeni Malatyaspor 8 3 2 3 -2 11
10 Hatayspor 6 3 2 1 -2 11
11 Besiktas 7 3 1 3 -2 10
12 Konyaspor 7 2 3 2 +3 9
13 Sivasspor 8 2 3 3 -2 9
14 Antalyaspor 8 2 3 3 -3 9
15 Goztep 7 1 5 1 +3 8
16 Erzurumspor 7 2 2 3 -3 8
17 Trabzonspor 8 1 3 4 -5 6
18 Kayserispor 7 2 0 5 -6 6
19 Genclerbirligi 7 1 2 4 -4 5
20 Denizlispor 7 1 2 4 -7 5
21 Ankaragücü 6 0 2 4 -5 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Denizlispor Gaziantep
25′
K. Özer 0–1
M. Demir
44′
🟨 Jean-Armel Kana-Biyik
45′
🔁 K. Aktaş
↦ J. Kana-Biyik
Half-time 0–1
Zakarya Bergdich 🟨
50′
M. Mešanović 🔁
↦ Á. Sagal
68′
R. Niyaz 🔁
↦ I. Aissati
68′
Radosław Murawski 🟨
72′
74′
🟨 Alin Toșca
77′
🔁 André
↦ M. Demir
77′
🔁 F. Soyalp
↦ A. Maxim
Ö. Özdemir 🔁
↦ H. Sacko
88′
90′
🟨 Furkan Soyalp
91′
🔁 Jefferson
↦ K. Mirallas
91′
🔁 C. Şahin
↦ K. Özer
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Denizlispor

4-2-3-1
29 C. Pantilimon G
21 Z. Bergdich D
2 Tiago Lopes D
91 Fabiano D
15 O. Yılmaz D
10 I. Aissati M
6 M. Bakalorz M
8 R. Murawski M
7 H. Rodallega F
28 Á. Sagal M
9 H. Sacko M
Bench (10)
11 M. Mešanović
20 R. Niyaz
76 Ö. Özdemir
4 N. Subotić
22 M. Yumlu
88 A. Kalkan
1 H. Altıntaş
3 M. Özkal
94 M. Kıryolcu
19 C. Gönen

Coach: R. Prosinečki

Gaziantep

5-3-2
1 G. Güvenç G
6 A. Toșca D
3 P. Djilobodji D
16 P. Olkowski D
76 J. Kana-Biyik D
17 O. Ceylan D
27 K. Mirallas M
7 K. Özer F
74 A. Vetrih M
44 A. Maxim M
10 M. Demir F
Bench (10)
5 K. Aktaş
9 André
88 F. Soyalp
8 Jefferson
77 C. Şahin
23 M. Uğurlu
26 M. Cihan
25 Ç. Akbaba
20 Z. Kožulj
28 André Sousa

Coach: M. Şumudică

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,57
U
3,35
B ✓
2,64
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,85
U2,5 ✓
1,95
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Atilla Karaoglan · 30 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
26,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,43 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.