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Serie B
Lecce
T U U S S
7–1
Full-time
Reggiana
S T T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lecce Reggiana
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,8
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,5
2,7
Scored
2,2
1,2
Conceded
1,3
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,8
-0,3
This season — Serie B · 7/6 matches
Win Ø 38%
43%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 62%
57%
67%
Both score Ø 54%
57%
50%
Average goals
3,0
2,7
Scored
1,9
1,2
Conceded
1,1
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,7
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–0

22 Shots 8
14 Shots on target 6
2 Corners 7
8 Free kicks against 7
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Lecce 6. · Reggiana 14.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Empoli 7 5 1 1 +7 16
2 Salernitana 7 4 2 1 +6 14
3 Chievo 7 4 2 1 +4 14
4 Venezia 7 4 1 2 +6 13
5 Frosinone 8 4 1 3 +0 13
6 Lecce 7 3 3 1 +5 12
7 Spal 7 3 3 1 +3 12
8 Cittadella 6 3 1 2 +4 10
9 Monza 6 2 3 1 +2 9
10 Brescia 6 2 2 2 +0 8
11 Pordenone 7 1 5 1 -1 8
12 Cosenza 8 1 5 2 -1 8
13 Reggina 7 1 4 2 -2 7
14 Reggiana 6 2 1 3 -2 7
15 Vicenza 6 1 3 2 -1 6
16 Ascoli 6 1 1 4 -4 4
17 Pisa 6 0 4 2 -5 4
18 Virtus Entella 7 0 4 3 -8 4
19 Pescara 7 1 1 5 -9 4
20 Cremonese 6 0 3 3 -4 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,55
U
3,77
B
6,15
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,83
U2,5
1,95
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.