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Bundesliga
Referee: M Schmidt
M'gladbach
S U S S T
1–1
Full-time
Augsburg
U T T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

M'gladbach Augsburg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,8
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 58%
83%
33%
Average goals
3,5
2,5
Scored
2,0
1,0
Conceded
1,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-0,5
This season — Bundesliga · 7/7 matches
Win Ø 43%
43%
43%
Points per game
1,6
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 57%
57%
57%
Both score Ø 57%
71%
43%
Average goals
3,4
2,7
Scored
1,7
1,3
Conceded
1,7
1,4
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

52% Possession 48%
15 Shots 10
6 Shots on target 5
1 Blocked shots 2
4 Goalkeeper saves 5
2 Corners 1
7 Offside 1
7 Free kicks against 12
1 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match M'gladbach 7. · Augsburg 10.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bayern Munich 7 6 0 1 +16 18
2 RB Leipzig 7 5 1 1 +11 16
3 Dortmund 7 5 0 2 +10 15
4 Leverkusen 7 4 3 0 +6 15
5 Union Berlin 7 3 3 1 +9 12
6 Wolfsburg 7 2 5 0 +2 11
7 M'gladbach 7 3 2 2 +0 11
8 Stuttgart 7 2 4 1 +4 10
9 Werder Bremen 7 2 4 1 +0 10
10 Augsburg 7 3 1 3 -1 10
11 Ein Frankfurt 7 2 4 1 -2 10
12 Hertha 7 2 1 4 +0 7
13 Hoffenheim 7 2 1 4 -1 7
14 Freiburg 7 1 3 3 -8 6
15 Bielefeld 7 1 1 5 -11 4
16 FC Koln 7 0 3 4 -5 3
17 Schalke 04 7 0 3 4 -17 3
18 Mainz 7 0 1 6 -13 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

M'gladbach Augsburg
1–0 F. Neuhaus
5′
38′
🟨 Rani Khedira
Half-time 1–0
54′
🔁 R. Framberger
↦ R. Gumny
62′
🟨 Raphael Framberger
65′
🟨 Jeffrey Gouweleeuw
65′
🔁 A. Hahn
↦ A. Finnbogason
65′
🔁 M. Gregoritsch
↦ F. Niederlechner
66′
🟨 Raphael Framberger
66′
🟥 Raphael Framberger
V. Lazaro 🔁
↦ P. Herrmann
67′
M. Thuram 🔁
↦ L. Stindl
78′
81′
🔁 M. Richter
↦ R. Vargas
88′
D. Caligiuri 1–1
D. Zakaria 🔁
↦ F. Neuhaus
89′
Marcus Thuram 🟨
90′
Full-time 1–1

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,50
U ✓
4,65
B
6,08
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,56
U2,5 ✓
2,44
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

M Schmidt · 27 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,33 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.