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Premiership
Referee: S Kirkland
ST Johnstone
T T S U S
1–1
Full-time
Motherwell
S T S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

ST Johnstone Motherwell
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,2
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
17%
67%
Both score Ø 25%
17%
33%
Average goals
2,3
3,5
Scored
1,0
2,0
Conceded
1,3
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,5
This season — Premiership · 13/12 matches
Win Ø 32%
31%
33%
Points per game
1,1
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 37%
23%
50%
Both score Ø 24%
23%
25%
Average goals
2,0
2,6
Scored
0,8
1,2
Conceded
1,2
1,4
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

53% Possession 47%
16 Shots 8
5 Shots on target 2
4 Blocked shots 3
1 Goalkeeper saves 4
4 Corners 1
3 Offside 4
11 Free kicks against 11
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match ST Johnstone 8. · Motherwell 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Rangers 14 12 2 0 +34 38
2 Celtic 12 9 2 1 +21 29
3 Aberdeen 12 8 2 2 +8 26
4 Hibernian 13 7 3 3 +5 24
5 Dundee United 14 4 5 5 -7 17
6 Kilmarnock 13 4 2 7 +0 14
7 Motherwell 12 4 2 6 -3 14
8 ST Johnstone 13 4 2 7 -6 14
9 Ross County 14 3 4 7 -14 13
10 Livingston 14 3 3 8 -9 12
11 St Mirren 11 2 2 7 -9 8
12 Hamilton 12 2 1 9 -20 7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

ST Johnstone Motherwell
17′
M. O'Hara 0–1
C. Bryson 🔁
↦ M. Davidson
29′
1–1 S. May
34′
Craig Bryson 🟨
40′
Half-time 1–1
M. O'Halloran 🔁
↦ C. Conway
61′
63′
🔁 C. Long
↦ D. Cole
77′
🔁 R. Lamie
↦ C. Long
Dan McNamara 🟨
81′
81′
🟨 Declan Gallagher
Alistair McCann 🟨
86′
C. Kane 🔁
↦ S. May
86′
87′
🔁 J. White
↦ C. Lang
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

ST Johnstone

3-4-2-1
1 Z. Clark G
3 S. Tanser M
6 L. Gordon D
4 J. Mccart D
5 J. Kerr D
15 D. McNamara M
7 C. Conway F
8 M. Davidson M
10 D. Wotherspoon F
18 A. McCann M
14 S. May F
Bench (9)
13 C. Bryson
11 M. O'Halloran
9 C. Kane
17 G. Melamed
22 C. Hendry
12 E. Parish
26 L. Craig
19 S. Rooney
24 C. Booth

Coach: C. Davidson

Motherwell

4-3-3
34 A. Chapman G
31 D. Gallagher D
33 S. O'Donnell D
5 N. McGinley D
16 B. Mugabi D
19 L. Polworth M
8 R. Crawford M
7 M. O'Hara M
32 T. Watt F
44 D. Cole F
29 C. Lang F
Bench (9)
99 C. Long
4 R. Lamie
9 J. White
26 D. Cornelius
13 J. Archer
17 S. Seedorf
2 L. Grimshaw
11 J. Hastie
24 D. Devine

Coach: S. Robinson

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,30
U ✓
3,24
B
3,12
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,28
U2,5 ✓
1,62
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.