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Bundesliga
Referee: B Dankert
Hertha
T T T U S
2–5
Full-time
Dortmund
S S S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hertha Dortmund
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
17%
67%
Points per game
0,7
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
67%
17%
Average goals
3,5
2,8
Scored
1,5
2,0
Conceded
2,0
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+1,2
This season — Bundesliga · 7/7 matches
Win Ø 50%
29%
71%
Points per game
1,0
2,1
Over 2.5 Ø 64%
71%
57%
Both score Ø 43%
71%
14%
Average goals
3,7
2,9
Scored
1,9
2,1
Conceded
1,9
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+1,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

40% Possession 60%
9 Shots 16
3 Shots on target 8
3 Blocked shots 5
3 Goalkeeper saves 1
4 Corners 3
1 Offside 1
13 Free kicks against 17
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Hertha 13. · Dortmund 4.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bayern Munich 8 6 1 1 +16 19
2 Leverkusen 8 5 3 0 +7 18
3 RB Leipzig 8 5 2 1 +11 17
4 Dortmund 7 5 0 2 +10 15
5 Wolfsburg 8 3 5 0 +4 14
6 Union Berlin 7 3 3 1 +9 12
7 M'gladbach 8 3 3 2 +0 12
8 Stuttgart 8 2 5 1 +4 11
9 Werder Bremen 8 2 5 1 +0 11
10 Augsburg 8 3 2 3 -1 11
11 Ein Frankfurt 8 2 5 1 -2 11
12 Hoffenheim 8 2 2 4 -1 8
13 Hertha 7 2 1 4 +0 7
14 Freiburg 7 1 3 3 -8 6
15 Bielefeld 8 1 1 6 -12 4
16 FC Koln 7 0 3 4 -5 3
17 Schalke 04 8 0 3 5 -19 3
18 Mainz 7 0 1 6 -13 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Hertha Dortmund
10′
🟨 Raphaël Guerreiro
1–0 Matheus Cunha
D. Lukébakio
33′
Half-time 1–1
47′
E. Haaland 1–1
E. Can
49′
E. Haaland 1–2
J. Brandt
Matheus Cunha 🟨
61′
62′
🔁 J. Bellingham
↦ M. Dahoud
62′
E. Haaland 1–3
70′
Raphaël Guerreiro 1–4
J. Ngankam 🔁
↦ K. Piątek
75′
M. Leckie 🔁
↦ D. Lukébakio
76′
E. Löwen 🔁
↦ V. Darida
76′
76′
🔁 Ł. Piszczek
↦ E. Can
77′
🔁 G. Reyna
↦ M. Reus
2–4 Matheus Cunha
79′
79′
E. Haaland 2–5
J. Bellingham
D. Zeefuik 🔁
↦ M. Plattenhardt
85′
M. Mittelstädt 🔁
↦ P. Pekarík
85′
85′
🔁 N. Schulz
↦ Raphaël Guerreiro
85′
🔁 Y. Moukoko
↦ E. Haaland
Full-time 2–5

Line-ups

Hertha

4-4-2
1 A. Schwolow G
2 P. Pekarík D
21 M. Plattenhardt D
20 D. Boyata D
5 N. Stark M
14 O. Alderete D
6 V. Darida M
8 M. Guendouzi M
11 D. Lukébakio F
9 K. Piątek F
10 Matheus Cunha M
Bench (9)
27 J. Ngankam
7 M. Leckie
23 E. Löwen
42 D. Zeefuik
17 M. Mittelstädt
22 R. Jarstein
31 M. Dárdai
29 L. Tousart
16 J. Dilrosun

Coach: B. Labbadia

Dortmund

3-4-3
1 R. Bürki G
15 M. Hummels D
13 Raphaël Guerreiro M
16 M. Akanji D
28 A. Witsel M
24 T. Meunier M
23 E. Can D
19 J. Brandt F
8 M. Dahoud M
11 M. Reus F
9 E. Haaland F
Bench (9)
22 J. Bellingham
26 Ł. Piszczek
32 G. Reyna
14 N. Schulz
18 Y. Moukoko
7 J. Sancho
30 F. Passlack
10 T. Hazard
35 M. Hitz

Coach: L. Favre

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
4,87
U
4,31
B ✓
1,64
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,57
U2,5
2,42
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

B Dankert · 114 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,7 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,14 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.