Bundesliga
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Hertha
Dortmund
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 1–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Bayern Munich
|
8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | +16 | 19 |
| 2 |
Leverkusen
|
8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | +7 | 18 |
| 3 |
RB Leipzig
|
8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | +11 | 17 |
| 4 |
Dortmund
|
7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | +10 | 15 |
| 5 |
Wolfsburg
|
8 | 3 | 5 | 0 | +4 | 14 |
| 6 |
Union Berlin
|
7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | +9 | 12 |
| 7 |
M'gladbach
|
8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | +0 | 12 |
| 8 |
Stuttgart
|
8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | +4 | 11 |
| 9 |
Werder Bremen
|
8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | +0 | 11 |
| 10 |
Augsburg
|
8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 11 |
| 11 |
Ein Frankfurt
|
8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | -2 | 11 |
| 12 |
Hoffenheim
|
8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -1 | 8 |
| 13 |
Hertha
|
7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | +0 | 7 |
| 14 |
Freiburg
|
7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -8 | 6 |
| 15 |
Bielefeld
|
8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -12 | 4 |
| 16 |
FC Koln
|
7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -5 | 3 |
| 17 |
Schalke 04
|
8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | -19 | 3 |
| 18 |
Mainz
|
7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | -13 | 1 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
A. Schwolow
G
N. Stark
M
O. Alderete
D
M. Guendouzi
M
D. Lukébakio
F
Matheus Cunha
M
Coach: B. Labbadia
M. Akanji
D
A. Witsel
M
T. Meunier
M
J. Brandt
F
E. Haaland
F
Coach: L. Favre
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Augsburg
Hertha
Hertha
Wolfsburg
RB Leipzig
Hertha
Hertha
Stuttgart
Bayern Munich
Hertha
B Dankert · 114 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,14 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.