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Eredivisie
Referee: D Makkelie
Zwolle
S U T U S
0–3
Full-time
PSV Eindhoven
S S S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Zwolle PSV Eindhoven
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,3
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
3,2
2,3
Scored
1,7
1,7
Conceded
1,5
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+1,0
This season — Eredivisie · 3/4 matches
Win Ø 54%
33%
75%
Points per game
1,3
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 54%
33%
75%
Average goals
2,7
2,8
Scored
1,7
2,0
Conceded
1,0
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+1,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–3

49% Possession 51%
12 Shots 12
3 Shots on target 5
2 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
4 Corners 3
1 Offside 2
11 Free kicks against 17
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Zwolle 10. · PSV Eindhoven 5.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Ajax 5 4 0 1 +8 12
2 Vitesse 5 4 0 1 +7 12
3 Twente 5 3 2 0 +7 11
4 Feyenoord 4 3 1 0 +7 10
5 PSV Eindhoven 4 3 1 0 +5 10
6 Heerenveen 5 3 1 1 +1 10
7 Groningen 4 2 0 2 -2 6
8 Utrecht 3 1 2 0 +2 5
9 VVV Venlo 5 1 2 2 +0 5
10 Zwolle 3 1 1 1 +2 4
11 AZ Alkmaar 4 0 4 0 +0 4
12 Willem II 5 1 1 3 -4 4
13 Heracles 5 1 1 3 -6 4
14 Waalwijk 4 1 0 3 -5 3
15 Den Haag 5 1 0 4 -6 3
16 FC Emmen 4 0 2 2 -3 2
17 For Sittard 4 0 1 3 -6 1
18 Sparta Rotterdam 4 0 1 3 -7 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Zwolle PSV Eindhoven
9′
M. Götze 0–1
18′
C. Gakpo 0–2
P. Max
39′
D. Malen 0–3
C. Gakpo
Dean Huiberts 🟨
43′
Half-time 0–3
M. Saymak 🔁
↦ D. Bajselmani
46′
S. Tedić 🔁
↦ R. Ghoochannejhad
46′
Bram Van Polen 🟨
57′
61′
🟨 Pablo Rosario
M. van Duinen 🔁
↦ C. Leemans
63′
67′
🔁 M. Ihattaren
↦ M. Götze
67′
🔁 N. Madueke
↦ Mauro Júnior
E. Reijnders 🔁
↦ D. Huiberts
73′
86′
🟨 Ibrahim Sangaré
87′
🔁 A. Fein
↦ I. Sangaré
90′
🔁 J. Piroe
↦ D. Malen
91′
🔁 J. Hendrix
↦ P. Rosario
Full-time 0–3

Line-ups

Zwolle

4-3-3
1 M. Zetterer G
2 B. van Polen D
4 Y. Nakayama M
31 S. van Wermeskerken D
15 S. Kersten D
17 D. Bajselmani D
11 J. Drost M
10 C. Leemans F
25 M. Pherai F
30 D. Huiberts M
8 R. Ghoochannejhad F
Bench (9)
6 M. Saymak
27 S. Tedić
9 M. van Duinen
23 E. Reijnders
22 P. Clement
36 M. Doue
20 T. van den Belt
40 M. Hauptmeijer
16 X. Mous

Coach: J. Stegeman

PSV Eindhoven

4-4-2
38 Y. Mvogo G
31 P. Max D
5 T. Baumgartl D
28 O. Boscagli D
22 D. Dumfries D
27 M. Götze M
17 Mauro Júnior F
6 I. Sangaré M
18 P. Rosario M
9 D. Malen F
19 C. Gakpo M
Bench (8)
10 M. Ihattaren
23 N. Madueke
11 A. Fein
8 J. Hendrix
29 J. Piroe
13 L. Unnerstall
4 N. Viergever
16 V. Müller

Coach: R. Schmidt

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
5,15
U
4,27
B ✓
1,58
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,52
U2,5
2,48
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

D Makkelie · 193 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.