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Eredivisie

Referee: Serdar Gozubuyuk

Groningen

T S S T T

0–1

Full-time

PSV Eindhoven

T S S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Groningen PSV Eindhoven

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

1,5

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,2

2,3

Scored

1,0

1,7

Conceded

1,2

0,7

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+1,0

This season — Eredivisie · 25/25 matches

Win Ø 46%

40%

52%

Points per game

1,4

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 52%

36%

68%

Both score Ø 54%

44%

64%

Average goals

2,1

3,2

Scored

1,1

2,1

Conceded

1,0

1,1

Goal diff per game

+0,1

+1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

56% Possession 44%

13 Shots 7

4 Shots on target 2

4 Blocked shots 2

1 Goalkeeper saves 4

11 Corners 6

0 Offside 2

5 Free kicks against 11

1 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Groningen 9. · PSV Eindhoven 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	25	18	2	5	+45	56
2	AZ Alkmaar	25	18	2	5	+37	56
3	Feyenoord	25	14	8	3	+15	50
4	PSV Eindhoven	25	13	7	5	+25	46
5	Willem II	26	13	5	8	+3	44
6	Utrecht	25	12	5	8	+16	41
7	Vitesse	26	12	5	9	+10	41
8	Heracles	26	10	6	10	+6	36
9	Groningen	25	10	5	10	+2	35
10	Heerenveen	26	8	9	9	+0	33
11	Sparta Rotterdam	26	9	6	11	-4	33
12	FC Emmen	26	9	5	12	-13	32
13	VVV Venlo	26	8	4	14	-27	28
14	Twente	26	7	6	13	-12	27
15	Zwolle	26	7	5	14	-18	26
16	For Sittard	26	6	8	12	-23	26
17	Den Haag	26	4	7	15	-29	19
18	Waalwijk	26	4	3	19	-33	15

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	13	11	0	2	+32	33
2	AZ Alkmaar	13	10	1	2	+24	31
3	Feyenoord	13	9	3	1	+14	30
4	FC Emmen	13	9	2	2	+14	29
5	PSV Eindhoven	12	8	3	1	+20	27
6	Heracles	13	8	1	4	+14	25
7	Willem II	13	7	4	2	+8	25
8	Utrecht	12	8	0	4	+18	24
9	Sparta Rotterdam	13	7	3	3	+14	24
10	Vitesse	13	7	3	3	+9	24
11	Groningen	12	7	1	4	+8	22
12	For Sittard	13	6	4	3	+5	22
13	Twente	13	5	3	5	+1	18
14	VVV Venlo	13	5	3	5	-7	18
15	Heerenveen	14	3	8	3	-1	17
16	Zwolle	12	5	2	5	-2	17
17	Den Haag	13	2	6	5	-6	12
18	Waalwijk	13	3	2	8	-7	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	AZ Alkmaar	12	8	1	3	+13	25
2	Ajax	12	7	2	3	+13	23
3	Feyenoord	12	5	5	2	+1	20
4	PSV Eindhoven	13	5	4	4	+5	19
5	Willem II	13	6	1	6	-5	19
6	Vitesse	13	5	2	6	+1	17
7	Utrecht	13	4	5	4	-2	17
8	Heerenveen	12	5	1	6	+1	16
9	Groningen	13	3	4	6	-6	13
10	Heracles	13	2	5	6	-8	11
11	VVV Venlo	13	3	1	9	-20	10
12	Twente	13	2	3	8	-13	9
13	Zwolle	14	2	3	9	-16	9
14	Sparta Rotterdam	13	2	3	8	-18	9
15	Den Haag	13	2	1	10	-23	7
16	Waalwijk	13	1	1	11	-26	4
17	For Sittard	13	0	4	9	-28	4
18	FC Emmen	13	0	3	10	-27	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.