Eredivisie
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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PSV Eindhoven
Feyenoord
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 0–1
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Ajax
|
23 | 17 | 2 | 4 | +45 | 53 |
| 2 |
AZ Alkmaar
|
23 | 16 | 2 | 5 | +31 | 50 |
| 3 |
Feyenoord
|
23 | 13 | 7 | 3 | +13 | 46 |
| 4 |
PSV Eindhoven
|
24 | 13 | 6 | 5 | +25 | 45 |
| 5 |
Willem II
|
25 | 13 | 5 | 7 | +5 | 44 |
| 6 |
Utrecht
|
24 | 11 | 5 | 8 | +12 | 38 |
| 7 |
Vitesse
|
25 | 11 | 5 | 9 | +9 | 38 |
| 8 |
Groningen
|
25 | 10 | 5 | 10 | +2 | 35 |
| 9 |
Heracles
|
25 | 9 | 6 | 10 | +4 | 33 |
| 10 |
Heerenveen
|
25 | 8 | 9 | 8 | +2 | 33 |
| 11 |
Sparta Rotterdam
|
24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 30 |
| 12 |
FC Emmen
|
24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | -12 | 29 |
| 13 |
VVV Venlo
|
25 | 8 | 4 | 13 | -24 | 28 |
| 14 |
Twente
|
25 | 7 | 6 | 12 | -11 | 27 |
| 15 |
Zwolle
|
25 | 7 | 4 | 14 | -18 | 25 |
| 16 |
For Sittard
|
25 | 6 | 7 | 12 | -23 | 25 |
| 17 |
Den Haag
|
25 | 4 | 7 | 14 | -25 | 19 |
| 18 |
Waalwijk
|
25 | 4 | 3 | 18 | -31 | 15 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Vitesse
PSV Eindhoven
Den Haag
PSV Eindhoven
PSV Eindhoven
Willem II
Ajax
PSV Eindhoven
PSV Eindhoven
Twente
Dennis Higler · 127 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.