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Eredivisie

Referee: Ingmar Oostrom

VVV Venlo

T U S U U

1–0

Full-time

Heracles

U T T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

VVV Venlo Heracles

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

17%

Points per game

1,0

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 67%

83%

50%

Average goals

2,5

Scored

1,0

Conceded

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,5

This season — Eredivisie · 22/22 matches

Win Ø 32%

27%

36%

Points per game

1,0

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 57%

68%

45%

Both score Ø 57%

64%

50%

Average goals

3,2

3,0

Scored

1,0

1,6

Conceded

2,2

1,4

Goal diff per game

-1,2

+0,2

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

45% Possession 55%

11 Shots 11

1 Shots on target 6

2 Blocked shots 2

6 Goalkeeper saves 0

1 Corners 5

1 Offside 2

10 Free kicks against 16

1 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match VVV Venlo 16. · Heracles 9. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	21	16	2	3	+43	50
2	AZ Alkmaar	21	15	2	4	+31	47
3	Feyenoord	21	11	7	3	+11	40
4	Willem II	22	12	4	6	+5	40
5	PSV Eindhoven	22	11	6	5	+21	39
6	Vitesse	22	10	5	7	+9	35
7	Utrecht	21	10	4	7	+12	34
8	Groningen	22	9	5	8	+4	32
9	Heracles	22	8	5	9	+4	29
10	Heerenveen	22	7	8	7	+3	29
11	Sparta Rotterdam	22	7	6	9	-4	27
12	FC Emmen	22	7	4	11	-14	25
13	Twente	22	6	6	10	-11	24
14	For Sittard	22	6	5	11	-22	23
15	Zwolle	22	6	4	12	-16	22
16	VVV Venlo	22	6	3	13	-26	21
17	Den Haag	22	4	5	13	-22	17
18	Waalwijk	22	3	3	16	-28	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	11	10	0	1	+31	30
2	PSV Eindhoven	11	8	2	1	+20	26
3	AZ Alkmaar	11	8	1	2	+18	25
4	Feyenoord	11	7	3	1	+11	24
5	FC Emmen	11	7	2	2	+9	23
6	Groningen	11	7	1	3	+9	22
7	Sparta Rotterdam	11	6	3	2	+11	21
8	Willem II	11	6	3	2	+6	21
9	For Sittard	11	6	2	3	+5	20
10	Heracles	11	6	1	4	+11	19
11	Utrecht	10	6	0	4	+13	18
12	Vitesse	10	5	3	2	+7	18
13	Heerenveen	12	3	7	2	+1	16
14	Twente	11	4	3	4	+0	15
15	Zwolle	10	4	2	4	-2	14
16	VVV Venlo	11	4	2	5	-8	14
17	Den Haag	11	2	5	4	-3	11
18	Waalwijk	11	2	2	7	-7	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	AZ Alkmaar	10	7	1	2	+13	22
2	Ajax	10	6	2	2	+12	20
3	Willem II	11	6	1	4	-1	19
4	Vitesse	12	5	2	5	+2	17
5	Feyenoord	10	4	4	2	+0	16
6	Utrecht	11	4	4	3	-1	16
7	Heerenveen	10	4	1	5	+2	13
8	PSV Eindhoven	11	3	4	4	+1	13
9	Groningen	11	2	4	5	-5	10
10	Heracles	11	2	4	5	-7	10
11	Twente	11	2	3	6	-11	9
12	Zwolle	12	2	2	8	-14	8
13	VVV Venlo	11	2	1	8	-18	7
14	Sparta Rotterdam	11	1	3	7	-15	6
15	Den Haag	11	2	0	9	-19	6
16	Waalwijk	11	1	1	9	-21	4
17	For Sittard	11	0	3	8	-27	3
18	FC Emmen	11	0	2	9	-23	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.