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Eredivisie
Referee: Pol van Boekel
Feyenoord
S S S S U
2–0
Full-time
Willem II
S T U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Feyenoord Willem II
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 58%
83%
33%
Points per game
2,7
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
4,0
2,7
Scored
2,7
1,2
Conceded
1,3
1,5
Goal diff per game
+1,3
-0,3
This season — Eredivisie · 24/25 matches
Win Ø 53%
54%
52%
Points per game
2,0
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 60%
67%
52%
Both score Ø 62%
71%
52%
Average goals
3,5
2,8
Scored
2,0
1,5
Conceded
1,5
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

57% Possession 43%
12 Shots 3
3 Shots on target 0
4 Blocked shots 1
0 Goalkeeper saves 1
6 Corners 3
0 Offside 2
15 Free kicks against 12
4 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Feyenoord 3. · Willem II 5.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Ajax 25 18 2 5 +45 56
2 AZ Alkmaar 25 18 2 5 +37 56
3 Feyenoord 24 13 8 3 +13 47
4 PSV Eindhoven 25 13 7 5 +25 46
5 Willem II 25 13 5 7 +5 44
6 Utrecht 25 12 5 8 +16 41
7 Vitesse 26 12 5 9 +10 41
8 Groningen 25 10 5 10 +2 35
9 Heracles 25 9 6 10 +4 33
10 Heerenveen 26 8 9 9 +0 33
11 Sparta Rotterdam 26 9 6 11 -4 33
12 FC Emmen 26 9 5 12 -13 32
13 VVV Venlo 26 8 4 14 -27 28
14 Twente 26 7 6 13 -12 27
15 Zwolle 26 7 5 14 -18 26
16 For Sittard 26 6 8 12 -23 26
17 Den Haag 26 4 7 15 -29 19
18 Waalwijk 25 4 3 18 -31 15

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,49
U
4,48
B
5,98
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,49
U2,5 ✓
2,55
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Pol van Boekel · 79 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
15,8 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.