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Süper Lig
Referee: H Meler
Fenerbahce
S S T U T
1–3
Full-time
Galatasaray
S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Fenerbahce Galatasaray
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 75%
50%
100%
Points per game
1,7
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
2,5
3,3
Scored
1,5
3,0
Conceded
1,0
0,3
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+2,7
This season — Süper Lig · 22/22 matches
Win Ø 53%
50%
55%
Points per game
1,7
1,9
Over 2.5 Ø 53%
64%
41%
Both score Ø 55%
68%
41%
Average goals
3,0
2,4
Scored
1,9
1,6
Conceded
1,2
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,9
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

55% Possession 45%
10 Shots 14
4 Shots on target 7
3 Blocked shots 1
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
6 Corners 4
2 Offside 2
22 Free kicks against 14
5 Yellow cards 7
1 Red cards 1
The table before the match Fenerbahce 6. · Galatasaray 4.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Trabzonspor 22 13 6 3 +26 45
2 Sivasspor 23 13 6 4 +16 45
3 Buyuksehyr 22 12 7 3 +19 43
4 Galatasaray 22 12 6 4 +19 42
5 Alanyaspor 23 11 6 6 +19 39
6 Fenerbahce 22 11 5 6 +15 38
7 Besiktas 23 11 4 8 +6 37
8 Goztep 22 9 7 6 +5 34
9 Gaziantep 23 8 7 8 -2 31
10 Genclerbirligi 23 7 6 10 -7 27
11 Antalyaspor 23 6 7 10 -15 25
12 Yeni Malatyaspor 22 6 6 10 +3 24
13 Denizlispor 22 6 6 10 -9 24
14 Rizespor 21 7 3 11 -11 24
15 Konyaspor 23 4 9 10 -13 21
16 Ankaragücü 23 4 8 11 -19 20
17 Kasimpasa 22 4 4 14 -20 16
18 Kayserispor 23 3 7 13 -32 16

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Fenerbahce Galatasaray
Serdar Aziz 🟨
16′
20′
🟨 Younès Belhanda
1–0 M. Kruse
21′
Ozan Tufan 🟨
36′
36′
🟨 Radamel Falcao
40′
R. Donk 1–1
Ö. Bayram
Half-time 1–1
Tolgay Arslan 🟨
50′
Nabil Dirar 🟨
54′
Mauricio Isla 🟨
57′
58′
🟨 Jean-Michaël Seri
D. Türüç 🔁
↦ T. Arslan
60′
68′
🟨 Ryan Donk
74′
🟨 Mariano
80′
R. Falcao 1–2
M. Erdinç 🔁
↦ M. Isla
81′
Deniz Türüç 🟥
84′
84′
🟨 Younès Belhanda
84′
🟥 Younès Belhanda
86′
🔁 A. Çalık
↦ R. Falcao
M. Ekici 🔁
↦ T. Ciğerci
88′
90′
🟨 Henry Onyekuru
97′
H. Onyekuru 1–3
R. Donk
98′
🔁 E. Akbaba
↦ S. Feghouli
99′
🔁 A. Büyük
↦ H. Onyekuru
Full-time 1–3

Line-ups

Fenerbahce

4-2-3-1
98 A. Bayındır G
15 S. Aziz D
4 M. Isla D
3 H. Kaldırım D
17 N. Dirar M
6 T. Arslan M
14 T. Ciğerci M
7 O. Tufan M
25 Jaílson D
10 M. Kruse M
94 V. Muriqi F
Bench (10)
23 D. Türüç
9 M. Erdinç
8 M. Ekici
54 E. Ersu
28 M. Sağlam
21 M. Zajc
2 S. Falette
19 A. Sayyadmanesh
16 F. Kadıoğlu
35 H. Tekin

Coach: E. Yanal

Galatasaray

4-1-4-1
1 F. Muslera G
22 Mariano D
19 Ö. Bayram M
45 Marcão Teixeira D
36 M. Saracchi D
15 R. Donk D
89 S. Feghouli M
10 Y. Belhanda M
6 J. Seri M
9 R. Falcao F
70 H. Onyekuru M
Bench (10)
5 A. Çalık
20 E. Akbaba
7 A. Büyük
34 O. Kocuk
21 J. Durmaz
14 M. Linnes
8 S. İnan
23 F. Andone
2 Ş. Özbayraklı
48 T. Antalyalı

Coach: F. Terim

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,01
U
3,50
B ✓
3,52
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,77
U2,5
2,03
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

H Meler · 115 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,34 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.