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LaLiga2
Lugo
S T T U S
1–0
Full-time
Oviedo
U U S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lugo Oviedo
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,2
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 58%
33%
83%
Average goals
1,8
2,5
Scored
0,8
1,2
Conceded
1,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,2
This season — LaLiga2 · 28/28 matches
Win Ø 21%
21%
21%
Points per game
1,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 45%
39%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
54%
79%
Average goals
2,3
2,7
Scored
0,9
1,2
Conceded
1,4
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

4 Shots 7
1 Shots on target 2
3 Corners 7
17 Free kicks against 12
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Lugo 20. · Oviedo 19.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Cadiz 29 15 7 7 +11 52
2 Zaragoza 28 13 9 6 +12 48
3 Almeria 29 12 11 6 +16 47
4 Huesca 28 14 4 10 +7 46
5 Girona 29 13 6 10 +5 45
6 Elche 29 10 10 9 +5 40
7 Fuenlabrada 29 9 12 8 +2 39
8 Numancia 29 9 11 9 +3 38
9 Alcorcon 29 8 14 7 +1 38
10 Mirandes 28 8 14 6 -1 38
11 Sp Gijon 29 10 8 11 -1 38
12 Ponferradina 29 8 13 8 +2 37
13 Las Palmas 29 9 10 10 -1 37
14 Vallecano 27 7 15 5 +5 36
15 Tenerife 29 9 9 11 +0 36
16 Malaga 28 7 13 8 -1 34
17 La Coruna 28 8 10 10 -12 34
18 Albacete 28 9 6 13 -12 33
19 Oviedo 28 6 11 11 -7 29
20 Lugo 28 6 11 11 -13 29
21 Extremadura UD 28 6 9 13 -13 27
22 Santander 28 3 15 10 -8 24

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

24. Aug -19 Oviedo – Lugo 1–1

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
3,01
U
2,91
B
2,53
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,38
U2,5 ✓
1,55
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.