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Pro League

Referee: Jasper Vergoote

Gent

S S S U S

4–1

Full-time

St Truiden

S S T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Gent St Truiden

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 75%

83%

67%

Points per game

2,7

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

83%

50%

Both score Ø 67%

83%

50%

Average goals

3,8

3,2

Scored

2,8

2,2

Conceded

1,0

Goal diff per game

+1,8

+1,2

This season — Pro League · 29/30 matches

Win Ø 46%

59%

33%

Points per game

2,0

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 53%

55%

50%

Both score Ø 55%

59%

50%

Average goals

3,1

2,8

Scored

2,1

1,2

Conceded

1,1

1,6

Goal diff per game

+1,0

-0,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–0

15 Shots 6

7 Shots on target 3

6 Corners 5

9 Free kicks against 14

3 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Gent 2. · St Truiden 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Club Brugge	31	23	7	1	+47	76
2	Gent	29	17	7	5	+29	58
3	Charleroi	31	16	10	5	+28	58
4	Standard	31	16	7	8	+21	55
5	Antwerp	30	15	8	7	+19	53
6	Genk	31	15	6	10	+10	51
7	Mechelen	31	15	5	11	+7	50
8	Anderlecht	30	10	12	8	+7	42
9	Waregem	31	12	6	13	+4	42
10	St Truiden	30	10	6	14	-11	36
11	Kortrijk	31	10	5	16	-7	35
12	Mouscron	27	8	9	10	-2	33
13	Royal Excel Mouscron	27	8	9	10	-2	33
14	Eupen	30	8	6	16	-25	30
15	Cercle Brugge	31	8	4	19	-25	28
16	Oostende	31	6	5	20	-30	23
17	Waasland-Beveren	27	5	5	17	-35	20
18	Beveren	27	5	5	17	-35	20

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Club Brugge	16	13	3	0	+29	42
2	Gent	15	12	3	0	+28	39
3	Standard	16	11	3	2	+20	36
4	Charleroi	15	11	2	2	+18	35
5	Antwerp	14	10	4	0	+17	34
6	Genk	15	10	1	4	+8	31
7	Anderlecht	16	7	6	3	+11	27
8	Waregem	15	8	1	6	+17	25
9	Mechelen	16	7	4	5	+5	25
10	Mouscron	14	5	5	4	+4	20
11	Royal Excel Mouscron	14	5	5	4	+4	20
12	Oostende	16	5	4	7	-6	19
13	St Truiden	15	4	6	5	+1	18
14	Kortrijk	16	5	3	8	+0	18
15	Cercle Brugge	15	5	2	8	-7	17
16	Eupen	14	3	5	6	-6	14
17	Waasland-Beveren	13	3	2	8	-15	11
18	Beveren	13	3	2	8	-15	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Club Brugge	15	10	4	1	+18	34
2	Mechelen	15	8	1	6	+2	25
3	Charleroi	16	5	8	3	+10	23
4	Genk	16	5	5	6	+2	20
5	Antwerp	16	5	4	7	+2	19
6	Standard	15	5	4	6	+1	19
7	Gent	14	5	4	5	+1	19
8	St Truiden	15	6	0	9	-12	18
9	Kortrijk	15	5	2	8	-7	17
10	Waregem	16	4	5	7	-13	17
11	Eupen	16	5	1	10	-19	16
12	Anderlecht	14	3	6	5	-4	15
13	Mouscron	13	3	4	6	-6	13
14	Royal Excel Mouscron	13	3	4	6	-6	13
15	Cercle Brugge	16	3	2	11	-18	11
16	Waasland-Beveren	14	2	3	9	-20	9
17	Beveren	14	2	3	9	-20	9
18	Oostende	15	1	1	13	-24	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.