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Primeira Liga

Referee: Nuno Miguel Serrano Almeida

Sp Lisbon

T S T S U

2–0

Full-time

Boavista

T S S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sp Lisbon Boavista

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

1,7

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

33%

17%

Both score Ø 34%

50%

17%

Average goals

2,2

1,7

Scored

1,2

0,8

Conceded

1,0

0,8

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+0,0

This season — Primeira Liga · 22/22 matches

Win Ø 44%

55%

32%

Points per game

1,8

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 37%

55%

18%

Both score Ø 53%

64%

41%

Average goals

2,7

1,7

Scored

1,6

0,8

Conceded

1,1

0,9

Goal diff per game

+0,5

-0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

63% Possession 37%

7 Shots 9

4 Shots on target 4

1 Blocked shots 4

4 Goalkeeper saves 2

6 Corners 5

2 Offside 1

10 Free kicks against 18

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Sp Lisbon 3. · Boavista 11. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Porto	23	19	2	2	+39	59
2	Benfica	22	19	0	3	+38	57
3	Sp Lisbon	22	12	3	7	+11	39
4	Rio Ave	23	11	6	6	+10	39
5	Sp Braga	22	11	4	7	+9	37
6	Famalicao	23	10	6	7	-1	36
7	Guimaraes	23	8	8	7	+12	32
8	Gil Vicente	23	7	9	7	-3	30
9	Santa Clara	23	8	6	9	-5	30
10	Moreirense	24	6	10	8	+0	28
11	Boavista	22	7	7	8	-2	28
12	Setubal	21	6	8	7	-8	26
13	Vitoria Setubal	21	6	8	7	-8	26
14	Maritimo	23	5	10	8	-7	25
15	Tondela	24	6	7	11	-11	25
16	Belenenses	23	7	3	13	-20	24
17	Pacos Ferreira	23	5	4	14	-18	19
18	Portimonense	22	2	10	10	-15	16
19	Aves	23	4	1	18	-21	13

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Porto	11	10	0	1	+23	30
2	Benfica	12	10	0	2	+22	30
3	Famalicao	12	6	3	3	+3	21
4	Rio Ave	12	5	4	3	+5	19
5	Moreirense	12	5	4	3	+3	19
6	Sp Braga	10	5	3	2	+3	18
7	Sp Lisbon	10	6	0	4	+3	18
8	Gil Vicente	11	4	6	1	+3	18
9	Guimaraes	11	5	2	4	+8	17
10	Santa Clara	12	4	3	5	-4	15
11	Maritimo	11	3	5	3	+1	14
12	Pacos Ferreira	13	4	2	7	-4	14
13	Setubal	11	3	5	3	-4	14
14	Vitoria Setubal	11	3	5	3	-4	14
15	Boavista	11	3	4	4	-1	13
16	Belenenses	12	4	1	7	-11	13
17	Aves	11	3	0	8	-6	9
18	Portimonense	10	1	5	4	-4	8
19	Tondela	12	1	4	7	-11	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Porto	12	9	2	1	+16	29
2	Benfica	10	9	0	1	+16	27
3	Sp Lisbon	12	6	3	3	+8	21
4	Rio Ave	11	6	2	3	+5	20
5	Sp Braga	12	6	1	5	+6	19
6	Tondela	12	5	3	4	+0	18
7	Guimaraes	12	3	6	3	+4	15
8	Santa Clara	11	4	3	4	-1	15
9	Boavista	11	4	3	4	-1	15
10	Famalicao	11	4	3	4	-4	15
11	Setubal	10	3	3	4	-4	12
12	Vitoria Setubal	10	3	3	4	-4	12
13	Gil Vicente	12	3	3	6	-6	12
14	Maritimo	12	2	5	5	-8	11
15	Belenenses	11	3	2	6	-9	11
16	Moreirense	12	1	6	5	-3	9
17	Portimonense	12	1	5	6	-11	8
18	Pacos Ferreira	10	1	2	7	-14	5
19	Aves	12	1	1	10	-15	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.