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Eredivisie
Referee: Bernie Raymond Blom
Heracles
S T S S T
2–1
Full-time
Ajax
S S T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Heracles Ajax
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
50%
83%
Points per game
1,5
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 83%
83%
83%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,3
4,3
Scored
2,0
3,5
Conceded
1,3
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+2,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

32% Possession 68%
14 Shots 30
8 Shots on target 11
1 Blocked shots 10
10 Goalkeeper saves 6
3 Corners 8
0 Offside 1
15 Free kicks against 16
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

26. Feb -17 Ajax – Heracles 4–1 18. Sep -16 Heracles – Ajax 0–2 26. Jan -16 Ajax – Heracles 0–0 17. Oct -15 Heracles – Ajax 0–2

Match report

Heracles Ajax
Reuven Niemeijer 🟨
16′
31′
🟨 Matthijs De Ligt
Half-time 0–0
Jamiro 🔁
↦ R. Niemeijer
46′
W. Droste 🔁
↦ T. Breukers
56′
56′
⚽ H. Ziyech 0–1
A. Younes
1–1 P. Gladon ⚽
B. Kuwas
65′
71′
🔁 F. de Jong
↦ M. Dijks
76′
🔁 K. Huntelaar
↦ L. Schöne
K. Peterson 🔁
↦ B. Darri
77′
2–1 B. Kuwas ⚽
Jamiro
82′
84′
🔁 V. Černý
↦ J. Kluivert
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Heracles

4-3-3
1 B. Castro G
2 T. Breukers D
5 B. van Hintum D
4 R. Pröpper D
34 J. Hardeveld D
14 J. Pelupessy M
20 P. van Ooijen M
29 R. Niemeijer M
9 P. Gladon F
7 B. Darri F
17 B. Kuwas F
Bench (10)
35 Jamiro
12 W. Droste
18 K. Peterson
21 S. Jakubiak
10 S. Armenteros
15 J. Navrátil
26 H. Zeinstra
3 D. Wuytens
28 M. Brouwer
8 L. Duarte

Coach: J. Stegeman

Ajax

4-3-3
1 A. Onana G
26 N. Viergever D
3 J. Veltman D
35 M. Dijks D
4 M. de Ligt D
20 L. Schöne M
10 H. Ziyech M
6 D. van de Beek M
11 A. Younes F
25 K. Dolberg F
45 J. Kluivert F
Bench (8)
21 F. de Jong
9 K. Huntelaar
17 V. Černý
42 D. Zeefuik
7 David Neres
22 B. van Leer
37 D. Dankerlui
15 C. Eiting

Coach: M. Keizer

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Bernie Raymond Blom · 43 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,6 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.