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Bundesliga

Referee: J Spurny

LASK

S T S U S

4–1

Full-time

St. Polten

U U T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

LASK St. Polten

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

67%

17%

Points per game

2,2

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

67%

83%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

3,7

Scored

2,0

1,8

Conceded

1,7

1,8

Goal diff per game

+0,3

+0,0

This season — Bundesliga · 19/19 matches

Win Ø 45%

74%

16%

Points per game

2,4

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 64%

53%

74%

Both score Ø 45%

42%

47%

Average goals

3,1

3,5

Scored

2,1

1,1

Conceded

0,9

2,4

Goal diff per game

+1,2

-1,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–1

58% Possession 42%

18 Shots 7

8 Shots on target 2

4 Blocked shots 3

1 Goalkeeper saves 4

10 Corners 6

4 Offside 3

12 Free kicks against 22

3 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match LASK 1. · St. Polten 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	LASK	19	14	3	2	+22	45
2	Salzburg	19	13	5	1	+47	44
3	SK Rapid	19	10	5	4	+19	35
4	Wolfsberger AC	20	10	4	6	+19	34
5	Sturm Graz	20	9	4	7	+11	31
6	Hartberg	19	8	4	7	-7	28
7	Austria Vienna	19	5	7	7	-3	22
8	Altach	20	6	3	11	-9	21
9	Mattersburg	20	5	3	12	-23	18
10	St. Polten	19	3	7	9	-26	16
11	Admira	20	3	6	11	-23	15
12	Tirol	20	4	3	13	-27	15

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Salzburg	10	8	1	1	+29	25
2	Wolfsberger AC	10	5	2	3	+12	17
3	Hartberg	9	5	2	2	+5	17
4	LASK	9	4	3	2	+5	15
5	Austria Vienna	9	4	2	3	+3	14
6	SK Rapid	10	3	4	3	+4	13
7	Sturm Graz	10	4	1	5	+1	13
8	Altach	10	3	2	5	-2	11
9	St. Polten	10	1	4	5	-14	7
10	Tirol	10	2	1	7	-15	7
11	Admira	10	1	3	6	-10	6
12	Mattersburg	10	1	2	7	-14	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	LASK	10	10	0	0	+17	30
2	SK Rapid	9	7	1	1	+15	22
3	Salzburg	9	5	4	0	+18	19
4	Sturm Graz	10	5	3	2	+10	18
5	Wolfsberger AC	10	5	2	3	+7	17
6	Mattersburg	10	4	1	5	-9	13
7	Hartberg	10	3	2	5	-12	11
8	Altach	10	3	1	6	-7	10
9	St. Polten	9	2	3	4	-12	9
10	Admira	10	2	3	5	-13	9
11	Austria Vienna	10	1	5	4	-6	8
12	Tirol	10	2	2	6	-12	8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.