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Primeira Liga
Referee: António Nobre
2–1
Full-time
Famalicao
U T U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Pacos Ferreira Famalicao
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
0%
17%
Points per game
0,3
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 34%
17%
50%
Average goals
1,5
2,8
Scored
0,2
0,8
Conceded
1,3
2,0
Goal diff per game
-1,2
-1,2
This season — Primeira Liga · 22/22 matches
Win Ø 32%
18%
45%
Points per game
0,7
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 52%
36%
68%
Both score Ø 46%
32%
59%
Average goals
2,1
3,4
Scored
0,6
1,7
Conceded
1,5
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,9
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

40% Possession 60%
9 Shots 11
4 Shots on target 5
2 Blocked shots 4
4 Goalkeeper saves 2
4 Corners 3
0 Offside 1
23 Free kicks against 13
5 Yellow cards 3
1 Red cards 1
The table before the match Pacos Ferreira 18. · Famalicao 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Porto 23 19 2 2 +39 59
2 Benfica 22 19 0 3 +38 57
3 Sp Lisbon 22 12 3 7 +11 39
4 Rio Ave 23 11 6 6 +10 39
5 Sp Braga 22 11 4 7 +9 37
6 Famalicao 22 10 6 6 +0 36
7 Guimaraes 23 8 8 7 +12 32
8 Gil Vicente 23 7 9 7 -3 30
9 Santa Clara 22 8 6 8 -4 30
10 Boavista 22 7 7 8 -2 28
11 Setubal 21 6 8 7 -8 26
12 Vitoria Setubal 21 6 8 7 -8 26
13 Moreirense 23 5 10 8 -1 25
14 Maritimo 23 5 10 8 -7 25
15 Tondela 24 6 7 11 -11 25
16 Belenenses 23 7 3 13 -20 24
17 Portimonense 22 2 10 10 -15 16
18 Pacos Ferreira 22 4 4 14 -19 16
19 Aves 23 4 1 18 -21 13

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Pacos Ferreira Famalicao
Marcelo 🟨
33′
Half-time 0–0
56′
🟨 Álex Centelles
Stephen Eustáquio 🟨
62′
Zé Uilton 🔁
↦ Hélder Ferreira
64′
Pedrinho 🟨
67′
João Amaral 🔁
↦ Pedrinho
69′
1–0 Zé Uilton
71′
Adriano Castanheira 🟨
75′
75′
🟨 Pote
76′
🔁 Guga
↦ Álex Centelles
77′
🔁 Anderson Silva
↦ U. Račić
2–0 Denílson
João Amaral
78′
Denílson 🟨
79′
Vasco Rocha 🔁
↦ S. Eustáquio
83′
86′
🟨 Gustavo Assunção
87′
🔁 N. Schiappacase
↦ Diogo Gonçalves
89′
Toni Martínez 2–1
Roderick Miranda
Denílson 🟥
90′
90′
🟥 Patrick
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Pacos Ferreira

4-2-3-1
87 Ricardo Ribeiro G
44 Marcelo D
21 Jorge Silva D
26 Maracás D
5 O. Reabciuk D
22 Luíz Carlos M
10 Pedrinho M
46 S. Eustáquio M
20 Adriano Castanheira M
7 Denílson F
17 Hélder Ferreira M
Bench (7)
9 Zé Uilton
42 João Amaral
29 Vasco Rocha
1 Simão Bertelli
99 Douglas Tanque
2 Marco Baixinho
6 Bruno Teles

Coach: Pepa

Famalicao

4-3-3
26 Vaná G
23 Roderick Miranda D
15 Riccieli D
97 Patrick William D
32 Álex Centelles D
69 U. Račić M
28 Pedro Gonçalves M
12 Gustavo Assunção M
7 Walterson F
17 Diogo Gonçalves F
19 Toni Martínez F
Bench (6)
6 Guga
33 Anderson Silva
9 N. Schiappacase
8 L. Ofori
1 Rafael Defendi
18 N. Pérez

Coach: João Pedro Sousa

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,89
U
3,16
B
2,45
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,17
U2,5
1,67
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

António Nobre · 138 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
29,1 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,35 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.