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Eredivisie
Referee: Danny Desmond Makkelie
Heracles
S U T U T
2–3
Full-time
Feyenoord
S U S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Heracles Feyenoord
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
17%
67%
Points per game
0,8
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,7
2,3
Scored
1,2
1,7
Conceded
1,5
0,7
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+1,0
This season — Eredivisie · 19/19 matches
Win Ø 42%
37%
47%
Points per game
1,4
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 55%
47%
63%
Both score Ø 61%
53%
68%
Average goals
3,1
3,3
Scored
1,6
1,8
Conceded
1,4
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

39% Possession 61%
13 Shots 14
7 Shots on target 6
4 Blocked shots 6
2 Goalkeeper saves 4
7 Corners 9
15 Free kicks against 10
1 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Heracles 9. · Feyenoord 5.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Ajax 19 15 2 2 +43 47
2 AZ Alkmaar 20 14 2 4 +27 44
3 Willem II 19 11 3 5 +7 36
4 PSV Eindhoven 19 10 5 4 +19 35
5 Feyenoord 19 9 7 3 +7 34
6 Utrecht 20 10 3 7 +12 33
7 Vitesse 19 10 3 6 +10 33
8 Heerenveen 20 7 7 6 +4 28
9 Heracles 19 7 5 7 +4 26
10 Groningen 19 7 5 7 +3 26
11 Sparta Rotterdam 19 6 5 8 -4 23
12 FC Emmen 19 6 3 10 -13 21
13 Twente 19 5 5 9 -11 20
14 For Sittard 19 5 4 10 -21 19
15 Zwolle 19 5 2 12 -17 17
16 Den Haag 20 4 4 12 -20 16
17 VVV Venlo 19 5 1 13 -27 16
18 Waalwijk 19 3 2 14 -23 11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Heracles Feyenoord
1–0 M. Rossmann
A. Merkel
19′
Half-time 1–1
47′
J. Toornstra 1–1
S. Berghuis
Cyriel Dessers 🟨
50′
53′
L. Sinisterra 1–2
57′
Eric Botteghin 1–3
O. Kökçü
A. Szöke 🔁
↦ C. Dessers
62′
73′
🔁 S. Larsson
↦ L. Sinisterra
Mohammed Osman 🔁
↦ A. Merkel
76′
77′
🔁 L. Narsingh
↦ N. Jørgensen
2–3 M. Rossmann
Mohammed Osman
78′
J. Konings 🔁
↦ J. Cijntje
79′
83′
🔁 R. Karsdorp
↦ O. Kökçü
Full-time 2–3

Line-ups

Heracles

4-2-3-1
1 J. Blaswich G
2 T. Breukers D
23 M. Rossmann D
34 J. Hardeveld D
13 M. Knoester D
52 A. Merkel M
10 Mauro Júnior M
22 O. Kiomourtzoglou M
9 C. Dessers F
11 S. van der Water M
7 J. Cijntje M
Bench (9)
17 A. Szöke
14 Mohammed Osman
25 J. Konings
15 L. Schoofs
21 S. Jakubiak
16 M. Brouwer
8 T. Bijleveld
6 D. Van den Buijs
26 K. Bucker

Coach: F. Wormuth

Feyenoord

4-3-3
1 J. Bijlow G
33 Eric Botteghin D
15 T. Malacia D
4 M. Senesi D
38 L. Geertruida D
8 L. Fer M
28 J. Toornstra M
23 O. Kökçü M
9 N. Jørgensen F
10 S. Berghuis F
17 L. Sinisterra F
Bench (7)
11 S. Larsson
7 L. Narsingh
27 R. Karsdorp
31 Elber Evora
6 J. van der Heijden
21 N. Marsman
14 G. Johnston

Coach: D. Advocaat

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,36
U
3,75
B ✓
2,01
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,50
U2,5
2,55
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Danny Desmond Makkelie · 111 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,7 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
18,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.