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Bundesliga
Referee: D Muckenhammer
2–2
Full-time
Salzburg
U U S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Austria Vienna Salzburg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
3,0
4,0
Scored
2,0
2,5
Conceded
1,0
1,5
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+1,0
This season — Bundesliga · 19/19 matches
Win Ø 47%
26%
68%
Points per game
1,2
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 76%
68%
84%
Both score Ø 66%
63%
68%
Average goals
3,3
4,7
Scored
1,6
3,6
Conceded
1,7
1,1
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+2,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

41% Possession 59%
15 Shots 19
8 Shots on target 8
0 Blocked shots 6
6 Goalkeeper saves 6
9 Corners 4
2 Offside 2
16 Free kicks against 14
2 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Austria Vienna 7. · Salzburg 2.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 LASK 20 15 3 2 +25 48
2 Salzburg 19 13 5 1 +47 44
3 SK Rapid 20 10 6 4 +19 36
4 Wolfsberger AC 20 10 4 6 +19 34
5 Sturm Graz 20 9 4 7 +11 31
6 Hartberg 20 8 5 7 -7 29
7 Austria Vienna 19 5 7 7 -3 22
8 Altach 20 6 3 11 -9 21
9 Mattersburg 20 5 3 12 -23 18
10 St. Polten 20 3 7 10 -29 16
11 Admira 20 3 6 11 -23 15
12 Tirol 20 4 3 13 -27 15

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Austria Vienna Salzburg
7′
Patson Daka 0–1
Albert Vallci
Michael Madl 🟨
20′
21′
🟨 Albert Vallci
Alexander Grünwald 🟨
30′
44′
🟨 Mohamed Camara
Half-time 0–1
59′
🔁 Dominik Szoboszlai
↦ Masaya Okugawa
1–1 Christoph Monschein
Dominik Fitz
67′
70′
Patson Daka 1–2
Hee Chan Hwang
73′
🟨 Maximilian Wöber
Patrick Wimmer 🔁
↦ Benedikt Pichler
75′
75′
🔁 Patrick Farkas
↦ Hee Chan Hwang
77′
🟨 Majeed Ashimeru
Maximilian Sax 🔁
↦ Alexander Grünwald
79′
Thomas Ebner 🔁
↦ Michael Madl
83′
2–2 Erik Palmer-Brown
Dominik Fitz
89′
90′
🔁 Sekou Koita
↦ Mergim Berisha
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Austria Vienna

4-2-3-1
32 Patrick Pentz G
17 Florian Klein D
23 Erik Palmer-Brown D
30 Michael Madl D
2 Andreas Poulsen D
24 Alexandar Borković M
10 Alexander Grünwald M
11 Benedikt Pichler M
36 Dominik Fitz M
39 Manprit Sarkaria M
14 Christoph Monschein F
Bench (7)
99 Mirko Kos
4 James Jeggo
9 Patrick Wimmer
27 Thomas Ebner
16 Dominik Prokop
7 Maximilian Sax
20 Bright Edomwonyi

Coach: C. Ilzer

Salzburg

4-3-1-2
1 Cican Stanković G
5 Albert Vallci D
6 Jérôme Onguene D
39 Maximilian Wöber D
17 Andreas Ulmer D
37 Masaya Okugawa M
19 Mohamed Camara M
4 Majeed Ashimeru M
8 Mergim Berisha M
9 Hee Chan Hwang F
20 Patson Daka F
Bench (7)
31 Carlos Miguel
25 Patrick Farkas
28 Antoine Bernede
16 Zlatko Junuzović
14 Dominik Szoboszlai
7 Sekou Koita
77 Noah Okafor

Coach: J. Marsch

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U ✓
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

D Muckenhammer · 31 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
26,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.