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La Liga
Referee: Javier Estrada
Getafe
S S S S T
0–3
Full-time
Sevilla
T S U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Getafe Sevilla
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
67%
17%
Points per game
2,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
17%
83%
Average goals
2,5
2,7
Scored
1,7
1,3
Conceded
0,8
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+0,0
This season — La Liga · 24/24 matches
Win Ø 48%
50%
46%
Points per game
1,8
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 36%
38%
33%
Both score Ø 46%
38%
54%
Average goals
2,4
2,3
Scored
1,5
1,3
Conceded
0,9
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,6
+0,3
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

49% Possession 51%
10 Shots 8
2 Shots on target 5
3 Blocked shots 0
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
5 Corners 3
4 Offside 1
14 Free kicks against 17
7 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Getafe 3. · Sevilla 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Barcelona 25 17 4 4 +33 55
2 Real Madrid 25 15 8 2 +29 53
3 Getafe 24 12 6 6 +14 42
4 Sociedad 24 12 4 8 +11 40
5 Ath Madrid 24 10 10 4 +8 40
6 Sevilla 24 11 7 6 +6 40
7 Villarreal 24 11 5 8 +10 38
8 Valencia 25 10 8 7 -2 38
9 Granada 25 11 3 11 +1 36
10 Levante 25 10 2 13 -5 32
11 Ath Bilbao 25 7 10 8 +2 31
12 Osasuna 25 7 10 8 -4 31
13 Betis 25 7 9 9 -5 30
14 Alaves 25 8 6 11 -8 30
15 Valladolid 25 6 11 8 -6 29
16 Celta 25 5 9 11 -12 24
17 Eibar 24 6 6 12 -15 24
18 Mallorca 25 6 4 15 -16 22
19 Leganes 25 4 7 14 -19 19
20 Espanol 25 4 7 14 -22 19

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Getafe Sevilla
Marc Cucurella 🟨
31′
31′
🟨 Joan Jordán
Oghenekaro Etebo 🟨
34′
Allan Nyom 🟨
35′
35′
🟨 Sergio Reguilón
43′
L. Ocampos 0–1
Reguilón
Half-time 0–1
Ángel 🔁
↦ Deyverson
46′
46′
🔁 Y. Bounou
↦ T. Vaclík
56′
🟨 Jules Koundé
M. Arambarri 🔁
↦ O. Etebo
58′
Jorge Molina 🟨
59′
Djené 🟨
62′
67′
Fernando 0–2
L. de Jong
Kenedy 🔁
↦ A. Nyom
71′
72′
🔁 Sergi Gómez
↦ Suso
75′
J. Koundé 0–3
Fernando
78′
🔁 Óliver Torres
↦ Fernando
Chema 🟨
86′
Nemanja Maksimović 🟨
90′
90′
🟨 Jesús Navas
Full-time 0–3

Line-ups

Getafe

4-4-2
13 David Soria G
22 Damián Suárez D
2 Djené D
6 Chema D
17 Mathias Olivera D
12 Allan Nyom M
5 Oghenekaro Etebo M
20 Nemanja Maksimović M
15 Marc Cucurella M
19 Jorge Molina F
14 Deyverson F
Bench (7)
1 Leandro Chichizola
4 Erick Cabaco
25 Kenedy
24 David Timor
18 Mauro Arambarri
9 Ángel Rodríguez
7 Jaime Mata

Coach: José Bordalás

Sevilla

3-4-3
1 Tomáš Vaclík G
12 Jules Koundé D
17 Nemanja Gudelj D
20 Diego Carlos D
16 Jesús Navas M
24 Joan Jordán M
25 Fernando M
23 Sergio Reguilón M
14 Suso F
19 Luuk de Jong F
5 Lucas Ocampos F
Bench (7)
13 Bono
3 Sergi Gómez
21 Óliver Torres
10 Éver Banega
22 Franco Vázquez
7 Rony Lopes
15 Youssef En-Nesyri

Coach: Lopetegui

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,32
U
3,08
B ✓
3,39
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,60
U2,5
1,49
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Javier Estrada · 42 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
28,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,24 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.