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Eredivisie
Referee: Allard Lindhout
Waalwijk
T
0–2
Full-time
AZ Alkmaar
T S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Waalwijk AZ Alkmaar
Last 6 — all competitions · 1/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
0%
50%
Points per game
0,0
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 92%
100%
83%
Both score Ø 84%
100%
67%
Average goals
4,0
3,7
Scored
1,0
2,0
Conceded
3,0
1,7
Goal diff per game
-2,0
+0,3
This season — Eredivisie · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 50%
0%
100%
Points per game
0,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 100%
100%
100%
Both score Ø 50%
100%
0%
Average goals
4,0
4,0
Scored
1,0
4,0
Conceded
3,0
0,0
Goal diff per game
-2,0
+4,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

39% Possession 61%
12 Shots 13
3 Shots on target 6
5 Blocked shots 4
4 Goalkeeper saves 3
9 Corners 6
0 Offside 1
10 Free kicks against 8
2 Yellow cards 1
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Waalwijk 17. · AZ Alkmaar 6. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Ajax 2 1 1 0 +5 4
2 Sparta Rotterdam 2 1 1 0 +3 4
3 Vitesse 2 1 1 0 +2 4
4 Twente 2 1 1 0 +2 4
5 Heerenveen 1 1 0 0 +4 3
6 AZ Alkmaar 1 1 0 0 +4 3
7 Utrecht 1 1 0 0 +2 3
8 Willem II 2 1 0 1 +0 3
9 VVV Venlo 2 1 0 1 -1 3
10 Groningen 2 1 0 1 -1 3
11 Feyenoord 1 0 1 0 +0 1
12 PSV Eindhoven 1 0 1 0 +0 1
13 Heracles 2 0 1 1 -4 1
14 For Sittard 2 0 1 1 -4 1
15 Den Haag 1 0 0 1 -2 0
16 Zwolle 1 0 0 1 -2 0
17 Waalwijk 1 0 0 1 -2 0
18 FC Emmen 2 0 0 2 -6 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Waalwijk AZ Alkmaar
Melle Meulensteen 🟨
30′
35′
⚽ O. Idrissi 0–1
M. Boadu
K. Heemskerk 🔁
↦ E. Vaessen
42′
Half-time 0–1
S. Bakari 🔁
↦ A. Tahiri
46′
48′
⚽ O. Idrissi 0–2
M. Boadu
Jurien Gaari 🟥
53′
61′
🔁 J. Clasie
↦ O. Idrissi
62′
🔁 Y. Sugawara
↦ J. Svensson
68′
🟨 Owen Wijndal
Stijn Spierings 🟨
73′
D. Seys 🔁
↦ S. Sow
73′
79′
🔁 A. Gudmundsson
↦ F. Midtsjø
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Waalwijk

4-3-3
1 E. Vaessen G
5 P. Quasten D
2 J. Gaari D
4 H. Delcroix D
3 M. Meulensteen D
6 D. Rienstra M
10 S. Spierings M
8 A. Tahiri M
9 M. Bilate F
11 D. Maatsen F
19 S. Sow F
Bench (11)
13 K. Heemskerk
28 S. Bakari
7 D. Seys
18 N. Nöstlinger
12 H. Mulder
20 K. Vermeulen
22 M. Grim
21 L. Daneels
14 H. Drost
16 I. van Weert
15 L. Nieuwpoort

Coach: F. Grim

AZ Alkmaar

4-3-3
1 M. Bizot G
4 R. Vlaar D
30 S. Wuytens D
2 J. Svensson D
5 T. Ouwejan M
15 O. Wijndal D
6 F. Midtsjø M
8 T. Koopmeiners M
11 O. Idrissi F
9 M. Boadu F
7 C. Stengs F
Bench (9)
20 J. Clasie
26 Y. Sugawara
28 A. Gudmundsson
16 J. Schendelaar
3 P. Hatzidiakos
22 R. de Boer
24 T. Reijnders
14 F. Druijf
29 J. Kramer

Coach: A. Slot

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
5,18
🔒
U
4,19
🔒
B ✓
1,59
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
1,56
🔒
U2,5 ✓
2,39
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Allard Lindhout · 108 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,7 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
19,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.