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Eredivisie
Referee: Bas Nijhuis
4–1
Full-time
VVV Venlo
S U S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sparta Rotterdam VVV Venlo
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,2
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 92%
100%
83%
Both score Ø 92%
83%
100%
Average goals
5,0
4,2
Scored
1,7
2,5
Conceded
3,3
1,7
Goal diff per game
-1,7
+0,8
This season — Eredivisie · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 50%
0%
100%
Points per game
1,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 100%
100%
100%
Both score Ø 100%
100%
100%
Average goals
4,0
4,0
Scored
2,0
3,0
Conceded
2,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+2,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

50% Possession 50%
17 Shots 6
8 Shots on target 2
0 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 4
2 Corners 4
0 Offside 1
13 Free kicks against 10
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sparta Rotterdam 10. · VVV Venlo 5.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Heerenveen 1 1 0 0 +4 3
2 AZ Alkmaar 1 1 0 0 +4 3
3 Utrecht 1 1 0 0 +2 3
4 Willem II 1 1 0 0 +2 3
5 VVV Venlo 1 1 0 0 +2 3
6 Groningen 1 1 0 0 +1 3
7 Vitesse 1 0 1 0 +0 1
8 Ajax 1 0 1 0 +0 1
9 Feyenoord 1 0 1 0 +0 1
10 Sparta Rotterdam 1 0 1 0 +0 1
11 Twente 1 0 1 0 +0 1
12 PSV Eindhoven 1 0 1 0 +0 1
13 FC Emmen 1 0 0 1 -1 0
14 Den Haag 1 0 0 1 -2 0
15 Zwolle 1 0 0 1 -2 0
16 Waalwijk 1 0 0 1 -2 0
17 Heracles 1 0 0 1 -4 0
18 For Sittard 1 0 0 1 -4 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,99
U
3,70
B
3,47
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,63
U2,5
2,27
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Bas Nijhuis · 109 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
15,5 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.