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Ligue 2

Referee: G Paradis

Lorient

S S S S U

4–0

Full-time

Caen

T T U U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lorient Caen

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

67%

Points per game

2,2

0,3

Over 2.5 Ø 83%

83%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

3,3

3,5

Scored

2,5

1,2

Conceded

0,8

2,3

Goal diff per game

+1,7

-1,2

This season — Ligue 2 · 31/31 matches

Win Ø 41%

65%

16%

Points per game

2,1

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 54%

55%

52%

Both score Ø 47%

48%

45%

Average goals

2,8

2,6

Scored

1,9

0,9

Conceded

0,9

1,6

Goal diff per game

+1,0

-0,7

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

69% Possession 31%

22 Shots 9

6 Shots on target 2

8 Blocked shots 4

2 Goalkeeper saves 2

12 Corners 1

2 Offside 2

10 Free kicks against 8

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Lorient 1. · Caen 18. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lorient	31	20	5	6	+30	65
2	Paris FC	32	20	5	7	+20	65
3	Metz	31	17	10	4	+30	61
4	Dunkerque	32	17	3	12	+7	54
5	Guingamp	32	16	3	13	+10	51
6	Laval	32	14	7	11	+7	49
7	Annecy	32	13	9	10	-2	48
8	Bastia	32	10	14	8	+5	44
9	Grenoble	32	12	7	13	-1	43
10	Troyes	32	12	5	15	+3	41
11	Amiens	32	12	4	16	-13	40
12	Pau FC	31	9	12	10	-11	39
13	Ajaccio	32	11	6	15	-11	39
14	Rodez	32	9	10	13	+2	37
15	Red Star	32	9	9	14	-14	36
16	Martigues	32	9	4	19	-23	31
17	Clermont	32	6	11	15	-17	29
18	Caen	31	5	6	20	-22	21

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lorient	15	13	1	1	+29	40
2	Paris FC	16	12	2	2	+16	38
3	Dunkerque	16	12	0	4	+14	36
4	Metz	16	10	5	1	+22	35
5	Amiens	16	10	2	4	+4	32
6	Bastia	16	8	7	1	+14	31
7	Guingamp	16	9	2	5	+14	29
8	Annecy	16	8	4	4	+6	28
9	Laval	16	8	3	5	+7	27
10	Ajaccio	16	8	3	5	+4	27
11	Grenoble	16	7	5	4	+6	26
12	Pau FC	15	7	5	3	+2	26
13	Troyes	16	6	4	6	+4	22
14	Rodez	16	6	4	6	+2	22
15	Red Star	16	6	4	6	-3	22
16	Clermont	16	2	8	6	-3	14
17	Caen	16	3	4	9	-9	13
18	Martigues	16	3	2	11	-14	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris FC	16	8	3	5	+4	27
2	Metz	15	7	5	3	+8	26
3	Lorient	16	7	4	5	+1	25
4	Laval	16	6	4	6	+0	22
5	Guingamp	16	7	1	8	-4	22
6	Annecy	16	5	5	6	-8	20
7	Martigues	16	6	2	8	-9	20
8	Troyes	16	6	1	9	-1	19
9	Dunkerque	16	5	3	8	-7	18
10	Grenoble	16	5	2	9	-7	17
11	Rodez	16	3	6	7	+0	15
12	Clermont	16	4	3	9	-14	15
13	Red Star	16	3	5	8	-11	14
14	Bastia	16	2	7	7	-9	13
15	Pau FC	16	2	7	7	-13	13
16	Ajaccio	16	3	3	10	-15	12
17	Caen	15	2	2	11	-13	8
18	Amiens	16	2	2	12	-17	8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.