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Ligue 1

Referee: E Wattellier

Toulouse

S T U U T

2–0

Full-time

Le Havre

T T T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Toulouse Le Havre

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

17%

50%

Points per game

0,8

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

2,7

3,2

Scored

1,0

1,7

Conceded

1,7

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,7

+0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Ligue 1 · 3/3 matches

Win Ø 34%

67%

Points per game

0,7

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

2,0

3,7

Scored

0,7

2,0

Conceded

1,3

1,7

Goal diff per game

-0,7

+0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,32 xG 0,21

54% Possession 46%

15 Shots 5

7 Shots on target 3

4 Blocked shots 1

3 Goalkeeper saves 4

6 Corners 5

10 Free kicks against 11

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Toulouse 16. · Le Havre 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Paris SG	4	4	0	0	+13	+9.0	12
2	Marseille	4	3	1	0	+8	+1.8	10
3	Monaco	4	3	1	0	+6	+5.5	10
4	Nantes	3	2	1	0	+4	-0.4	7
5	Lens	3	2	1	0	+3	+4.2	7
6	Rennes	4	2	0	2	+3	+0.7	6
7	Le Havre	3	2	0	1	+1	+0.8	6
8	Lille	4	2	0	2	+1	+1.1	6
9	Strasbourg	3	1	1	1	+1	-1.1	4
10	Nice	4	1	1	2	+0	+1.3	4
11	Reims	3	1	1	1	-1	-3.7	4
12	Brest	4	1	0	3	-4	-2.1	3
13	Lyon	3	1	0	2	-4	-2.0	3
14	Auxerre	4	1	0	3	-6	-4.2	3
15	St Etienne	4	1	0	3	-6	-5.7	3
16	Toulouse	3	0	2	1	-2	+1.1	2
17	Montpellier	4	0	1	3	-11	-4.2	1
18	Angers	3	0	0	3	-6	-2.0	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Paris SG	2	2	0	0	+8	+5.1	6
2	Rennes	2	2	0	0	+6	+0.9	6
3	Marseille	2	1	1	0	+2	+0.9	4
4	Monaco	2	1	1	0	+1	+0.3	4
5	Strasbourg	1	1	0	0	+2	-0.4	3
6	Nantes	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.3	3
7	Lens	1	1	0	0	+2	+2.1	3
8	Brest	2	1	0	1	+0	+1.9	3
9	Lille	2	1	0	1	+0	-0.9	3
10	Lyon	2	1	0	1	-1	-2.0	3
11	Le Havre	2	1	0	1	-1	-0.5	3
12	Reims	2	1	0	1	-1	-1.4	3
13	St Etienne	2	1	0	1	-1	-1.3	3
14	Auxerre	2	1	0	1	-2	-1.7	3
15	Nice	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.3	1
16	Montpellier	2	0	1	1	-2	-0.1	1
17	Toulouse	2	0	1	1	-2	+1.4	1
18	Angers	2	0	0	2	-4	-1.7	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Marseille	2	2	0	0	+6	+0.9	6
2	Paris SG	2	2	0	0	+5	+3.9	6
3	Monaco	2	2	0	0	+5	+5.2	6
4	Nantes	2	1	1	0	+2	-0.7	4
5	Lens	2	1	1	0	+1	+2.1	4
6	Le Havre	1	1	0	0	+2	+1.3	3
7	Lille	2	1	0	1	+1	+2.0	3
8	Nice	3	1	0	2	+0	+1.0	3
9	Reims	1	0	1	0	+0	-2.3	1
10	Toulouse	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.3	1
11	Strasbourg	2	0	1	1	-1	-0.7	1
12	Angers	1	0	0	1	-2	-0.3	0
13	Rennes	2	0	0	2	-3	-0.2	0
14	Lyon	1	0	0	1	-3	+0.0	0
15	Auxerre	2	0	0	2	-4	-2.5	0
16	Brest	2	0	0	2	-4	-4.0	0
17	St Etienne	2	0	0	2	-5	-4.5	0
18	Montpellier	2	0	0	2	-9	-4.1	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.