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Ligue 1

Referee: B Millot

Rennes

S T S U T

3–0

Full-time

Lyon

S S S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Rennes Lyon

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

33%

67%

Points per game

1,2

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 83%

83%

Both score Ø 83%

83%

Average goals

4,2

4,0

Scored

2,2

2,0

Conceded

2,0

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+0,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

2,05 xG 2,06

48% Possession 52%

22 Shots 16

8 Shots on target 2

4 Blocked shots 6

2 Goalkeeper saves 5

7 Corners 7

1 Offside 2

13 Free kicks against 12

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Marseille	1	1	0	0	+4	+1.1	3
2	Paris SG	1	1	0	0	+3	+2.7	3
3	Lille	1	1	0	0	+2	+2.0	3
4	Auxerre	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.2	3
5	Monaco	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.5	3
6	Lens	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.8	3
7	Montpellier	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.5	1
8	Strasbourg	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.5	1
9	Toulouse	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.2	1
10	Nantes	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.2	1
11	Nice	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.2	0
12	St Etienne	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.5	0
13	Angers	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.8	0
14	Reims	1	0	0	1	-2	-2.0	0
15	Le Havre	1	0	0	1	-3	-2.7	0
16	Brest	1	0	0	1	-4	-1.1	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Auxerre	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.2	3
2	Monaco	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.5	3
3	Montpellier	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.5	1
4	Toulouse	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.2	1
5	Angers	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.8	0
6	Reims	1	0	0	1	-2	-2.0	0
7	Le Havre	1	0	0	1	-3	-2.7	0
8	Brest	1	0	0	1	-4	-1.1	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Marseille	1	1	0	0	+4	+1.1	3
2	Paris SG	1	1	0	0	+3	+2.7	3
3	Lille	1	1	0	0	+2	+2.0	3
4	Lens	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.8	3
5	Strasbourg	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.5	1
6	Nantes	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.2	1
7	Nice	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.2	0
8	St Etienne	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.5	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.