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Ligue 1

Referee: C Turpin

Nice

S U S S S

2–0

Full-time

Rennes

T T T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Nice Rennes

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 58%

83%

33%

Points per game

2,7

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

17%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

17%

83%

Average goals

1,5

2,8

Scored

1,2

1,3

Conceded

0,3

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,8

-0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Ligue 1 · 10/10 matches

Win Ø 40%

60%

20%

Points per game

2,2

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 35%

10%

60%

Both score Ø 55%

30%

80%

Average goals

1,5

2,9

Scored

1,1

1,6

Conceded

0,4

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,7

+0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

1,64 xG 0,80

46% Possession 54%

16 Shots 11

4 Shots on target 4

2 Blocked shots 5

4 Goalkeeper saves 2

2 Corners 1

7 Free kicks against 12

0 Yellow cards 2

1 Red cards 1

The table before the match Nice 3. · Rennes 11. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Paris SG	11	7	3	1	+17	+13.3	24
2	Monaco	11	7	2	2	+11	+6.3	23
3	Nice	10	6	4	0	+7	+7.0	22
4	Reims	11	6	2	3	+5	+3.1	20
5	Lille	11	5	4	2	+4	+3.7	19
6	Brest	11	4	3	4	-2	+1.1	15
7	Le Havre	11	3	5	3	-1	-6.6	14
8	Nantes	11	4	2	5	-4	-6.6	14
9	Marseille	10	3	4	3	+0	+7.9	13
10	Lens	11	3	4	4	-1	+3.7	13
11	Rennes	10	2	6	2	+3	+4.7	12
12	Montpellier	10	3	3	4	+1	+3.0	12
13	Strasbourg	11	3	3	5	-6	-3.1	12
14	Toulouse	11	2	5	4	-3	-8.2	11
15	Lorient	11	2	5	4	-5	-7.2	11
16	Metz	11	2	4	5	-8	-9.4	10
17	Clermont	10	1	3	6	-7	-6.4	6
18	Lyon	10	0	4	6	-11	-6.5	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Monaco	6	5	0	1	+9	+2.7	15
2	Paris SG	6	4	1	1	+11	+5.5	13
3	Lille	5	4	0	1	+5	+3.7	12
4	Marseille	5	3	2	0	+6	+5.7	11
5	Rennes	6	2	3	1	+4	+5.7	9
6	Nice	5	2	3	0	+3	+4.1	9
7	Reims	5	3	0	2	+2	+4.3	9
8	Lorient	6	2	3	1	+1	-3.7	9
9	Lens	5	2	2	1	+4	+6.4	8
10	Nantes	6	2	2	2	+2	-1.9	8
11	Brest	5	2	2	1	+1	+5.0	8
12	Strasbourg	6	2	2	2	+1	+2.1	8
13	Le Havre	5	2	1	2	+1	+1.5	7
14	Toulouse	5	1	3	1	+2	-0.4	6
15	Montpellier	4	1	2	1	+1	+2.6	5
16	Metz	5	0	3	2	-2	-1.4	3
17	Lyon	6	0	3	3	-7	-1.9	3
18	Clermont	5	0	1	4	-5	-4.5	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Nice	5	4	1	0	+4	+2.8	13
2	Paris SG	5	3	2	0	+6	+7.8	11
3	Reims	6	3	2	1	+3	-1.2	11
4	Monaco	5	2	2	1	+2	+3.6	8
5	Montpellier	6	2	1	3	+0	+0.5	7
6	Lille	6	1	4	1	-1	+0.0	7
7	Le Havre	6	1	4	1	-2	-8.1	7
8	Brest	6	2	1	3	-3	-3.8	7
9	Metz	6	2	1	3	-6	-8.0	7
10	Nantes	5	2	0	3	-6	-4.7	6
11	Clermont	5	1	2	2	-2	-1.9	5
12	Lens	6	1	2	3	-5	-2.8	5
13	Toulouse	6	1	2	3	-5	-7.8	5
14	Strasbourg	5	1	1	3	-7	-5.2	4
15	Rennes	4	0	3	1	-1	-1.0	3
16	Lorient	5	0	2	3	-6	-3.5	2
17	Marseille	5	0	2	3	-6	+2.3	2
18	Lyon	4	0	1	3	-4	-4.6	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.