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Ligue 1
Referee: F Batta
Lyon
S T U S U
6–1
Full-time
Bordeaux
T T T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lyon Bordeaux
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,3
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
3,2
2,2
Scored
1,7
0,7
Conceded
1,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,8
This season — Ligue 1 · 31/31 matches
Win Ø 28%
39%
16%
Points per game
1,5
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 55%
45%
65%
Both score Ø 67%
65%
68%
Average goals
2,7
3,6
Scored
1,4
1,3
Conceded
1,3
2,3
Goal diff per game
+0,1
-1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–0

60% Possession 40%
15 Shots 17
9 Shots on target 5
3 Blocked shots 5
4 Goalkeeper saves 3
3 Corners 5
8 Offside 1
8 Free kicks against 13
0 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Lyon 10. · Bordeaux 19.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Paris SG 31 22 5 4 +41 71
2 Marseille 31 17 8 6 +22 59
3 Rennes 32 17 5 10 +35 56
4 Nice 32 16 7 9 +14 55
5 Strasbourg 32 14 11 7 +19 53
6 Monaco 32 15 8 9 +16 53
7 Lens 32 14 8 10 +9 50
8 Lille 32 12 12 8 +2 48
9 Nantes 32 13 8 11 +6 47
10 Lyon 31 12 11 8 +4 47
11 Montpellier 32 12 6 14 +0 42
12 Brest 32 10 9 13 -7 39
13 Reims 32 8 13 11 -1 37
14 Angers 32 8 10 14 -10 34
15 Troyes 32 8 9 15 -15 33
16 Lorient 32 7 10 15 -20 31
17 St Etienne 32 7 9 16 -27 30
18 Clermont 32 7 8 17 -29 29
19 Bordeaux 31 5 11 15 -30 26
20 Metz 32 4 12 16 -29 24

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Lyon Bordeaux
1–0 M. Dembélé
M. Gusto
20′
2–0 K. Toko-Ekambi
26′
3–0 Lucas Paquetá
34′
Half-time 4–0
4–0 R. Faivre
M. Dembélé
46′
64′
🔁 R. Oudin
↦ M. Niang
64′
🔁 J. Dilrosun
↦ Y. Adli
Emerson 🔁
↦ M. Gusto
65′
H. Aouar 🔁
↦ Lucas Paquetá
65′
J. Reine-Adélaïde 🔁
↦ R. Faivre
65′
5–0 K. Toko-Ekambi
J. Reine-Adélaïde
68′
B. Barcola 🔁
↦ Tetê
73′
73′
🔁 E. Kwateng
↦ T. Lacoux
73′
🔁 S. Mara
↦ Hwang Ui-Jo
J. Boateng 🔁
↦ Thiago Mendes
84′
85′
🔁 Fransérgio
↦ A. Medioub
85′
S. Mara 5–1
6–1 M. Dembélé
B. Barcola
92′
Full-time 6–1

Line-ups

Lyon

4-3-3
30 J. Pollersbeck G
21 D. Da Silva D
12 Henrique D
4 C. Lukeba D
17 M. Gusto D
23 Thiago Mendes M
15 R. Faivre M
10 Lucas Paquetá M
20 Tetê F
7 K. Toko-Ekambi F
9 M. Dembélé F
Bench (6)
3 Emerson
8 H. Aouar
22 J. Reine-Adélaïde
26 B. Barcola
27 J. Boateng
40 K. Bonnevie

Coach: P. Bosz

Bordeaux

3-4-1-2
16 G. Poussin G
12 Ricardo Mangas D
5 A. Ahmedhodzic D
14 G. Mensah M
3 A. Medioub D
23 J. Guilavogui M
19 Y. Adli F
8 J. Onana M
27 T. Lacoux M
10 M. Niang F
18 Hwang Ui-Jo F
Bench (9)
28 R. Oudin
21 J. Dilrosun
25 E. Kwateng
11 S. Mara
13 Fransérgio
33 T. Klidjé
1 B. Costil
24 P. Baysse
7 J. Briand

Coach: D. Guion

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,30
U
5,85
B
9,72
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,47
U2,5
2,68
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

F Batta · 132 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
27,3 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.