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Ligue 1

Referee: J Stinat

Marseille

U T S S S

2–0

Full-time

Montpellier

T T U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Marseille Montpellier

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,7

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

3,2

2,3

Scored

1,8

1,0

Conceded

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,5

-0,3

This season — Ligue 1 · 30/30 matches

Win Ø 47%

53%

40%

Points per game

1,9

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 44%

40%

47%

Both score Ø 52%

53%

50%

Average goals

2,6

2,9

Scored

1,6

1,5

Conceded

1,0

1,4

Goal diff per game

+0,7

+0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

61% Possession 39%

11 Shots 6

5 Shots on target 2

1 Blocked shots 3

2 Goalkeeper saves 3

0 Corners 8

1 Offside 2

12 Free kicks against 13

0 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Marseille 3. · Montpellier 11. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	31	22	5	4	+41	71
2	Rennes	31	17	5	9	+36	56
3	Marseille	30	16	8	6	+20	56
4	Strasbourg	31	14	10	7	+19	52
5	Nice	31	15	7	9	+13	52
6	Monaco	31	14	8	9	+15	50
7	Lille	31	12	12	7	+3	48
8	Lens	31	13	8	10	+8	47
9	Lyon	31	12	11	8	+4	47
10	Nantes	31	13	7	11	+6	46
11	Montpellier	30	12	5	13	+2	41
12	Brest	31	10	9	12	-6	39
13	Reims	31	8	12	11	-1	36
14	Angers	31	8	9	14	-10	33
15	Troyes	31	8	8	15	-15	32
16	Lorient	31	7	10	14	-19	31
17	Clermont	31	7	7	17	-29	28
18	St Etienne	31	6	9	16	-28	27
19	Bordeaux	31	5	11	15	-30	26
20	Metz	31	4	11	16	-29	23

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	15	14	1	0	+31	43
2	Rennes	15	11	1	3	+29	34
3	Monaco	16	9	4	3	+17	31
4	Strasbourg	16	9	4	3	+16	31
5	Lens	16	8	5	3	+13	29
6	Nantes	15	9	2	4	+10	29
7	Lyon	16	8	5	3	+8	29
8	Nice	15	7	4	4	+4	25
9	Lille	15	6	7	2	+3	25
10	Montpellier	16	7	3	6	+5	24
11	Marseille	15	6	5	4	+7	23
12	Lorient	15	5	5	5	+1	20
13	Angers	16	6	2	8	-2	20
14	Brest	15	5	4	6	-1	19
15	Reims	15	4	6	5	+4	18
16	Troyes	15	4	6	5	+0	18
17	St Etienne	16	3	6	7	-11	15
18	Bordeaux	16	3	5	8	-7	14
19	Clermont	16	3	5	8	-11	14
20	Metz	15	1	6	8	-11	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Marseille	15	10	3	2	+13	33
2	Paris SG	16	8	4	4	+10	28
3	Nice	16	8	3	5	+9	27
4	Lille	16	6	5	5	+0	23
5	Rennes	16	6	4	6	+7	22
6	Strasbourg	15	5	6	4	+3	21
7	Brest	16	5	5	6	-5	20
8	Monaco	15	5	4	6	-2	19
9	Lyon	15	4	6	5	-4	18
10	Lens	15	5	3	7	-5	18
11	Reims	16	4	6	6	-5	18
12	Montpellier	14	5	2	7	-3	17
13	Nantes	16	4	5	7	-4	17
14	Troyes	16	4	2	10	-15	14
15	Clermont	15	4	2	9	-18	14
16	Metz	16	3	5	8	-18	14
17	Angers	15	2	7	6	-8	13
18	St Etienne	15	3	3	9	-17	12
19	Bordeaux	15	2	6	7	-23	12
20	Lorient	16	2	5	9	-20	11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.