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Ligue 1

Referee: J Stinat

Brest

T T S U T

2–1

Full-time

Lyon

T U S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Brest Lyon

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,2

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 75%

67%

83%

Average goals

2,5

4,2

Scored

1,0

2,7

Conceded

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,5

+1,2

This season — Ligue 1 · 32/32 matches

Win Ø 36%

31%

41%

Points per game

1,2

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 47%

47%

Both score Ø 66%

66%

Average goals

2,7

2,8

Scored

1,3

1,6

Conceded

1,5

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

34% Possession 66%

9 Shots 18

3 Shots on target 5

1 Blocked shots 5

4 Goalkeeper saves 1

2 Corners 2

1 Offside 3

15 Free kicks against 12

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Brest 13. · Lyon 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	32	23	5	4	+42	74
2	Marseille	32	17	8	7	+21	59
3	Rennes	32	17	5	10	+35	56
4	Monaco	33	16	8	9	+17	56
5	Nice	33	16	7	10	+13	55
6	Strasbourg	32	14	11	7	+19	53
7	Lyon	32	13	11	8	+9	50
8	Lens	32	14	8	10	+9	50
9	Lille	33	12	12	9	+1	48
10	Nantes	32	13	8	11	+6	47
11	Montpellier	32	12	6	14	+0	42
12	Reims	33	9	13	11	+0	40
13	Brest	32	10	9	13	-7	39
14	Angers	32	8	10	14	-10	34
15	Lorient	33	8	10	15	-19	34
16	Troyes	33	8	9	16	-16	33
17	Clermont	33	8	8	17	-28	32
18	St Etienne	33	7	10	16	-27	31
19	Bordeaux	33	5	12	16	-35	27
20	Metz	33	4	12	17	-30	24

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	16	15	1	0	+32	46
2	Rennes	16	11	1	4	+28	34
3	Monaco	17	10	4	3	+18	34
4	Lyon	17	9	5	3	+13	32
5	Strasbourg	16	9	4	3	+16	31
6	Nantes	16	9	3	4	+10	30
7	Lens	16	8	5	3	+13	29
8	Nice	16	8	4	4	+5	28
9	Marseille	16	7	5	4	+9	26
10	Montpellier	17	7	4	6	+5	25
11	Lille	16	6	7	3	+2	25
12	Lorient	16	6	5	5	+2	23
13	Reims	16	5	6	5	+5	21
14	Angers	16	6	2	8	-2	20
15	Brest	15	5	4	6	-1	19
16	Troyes	17	4	7	6	-1	19
17	St Etienne	17	4	6	7	-10	18
18	Bordeaux	17	3	6	8	-7	15
19	Clermont	16	3	5	8	-11	14
20	Metz	16	1	7	8	-11	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Marseille	16	10	3	3	+12	33
2	Paris SG	16	8	4	4	+10	28
3	Nice	17	8	3	6	+8	27
4	Lille	17	6	5	6	-1	23
5	Rennes	16	6	4	6	+7	22
6	Strasbourg	16	5	7	4	+3	22
7	Monaco	16	6	4	6	-1	22
8	Lens	16	6	3	7	-4	21
9	Brest	17	5	5	7	-6	20
10	Reims	17	4	7	6	-5	19
11	Lyon	15	4	6	5	-4	18
12	Clermont	17	5	3	9	-17	18
13	Nantes	16	4	5	7	-4	17
14	Montpellier	15	5	2	8	-5	17
15	Angers	16	2	8	6	-8	14
16	Troyes	16	4	2	10	-15	14
17	Metz	17	3	5	9	-19	14
18	St Etienne	16	3	4	9	-17	13
19	Bordeaux	16	2	6	8	-28	12
20	Lorient	17	2	5	10	-21	11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.