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Ligue 1
Referee: R Buquet
Bordeaux
U T U U S
2–3
Full-time
Paris SG
S T S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bordeaux Paris SG
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
17%
67%
Points per game
1,2
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
3,3
2,2
Scored
1,5
1,3
Conceded
1,8
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,5
This season — Ligue 1 · 12/12 matches
Win Ø 50%
17%
83%
Points per game
1,0
2,6
Over 2.5 Ø 63%
58%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
75%
58%
Average goals
3,3
3,1
Scored
1,3
2,2
Conceded
2,0
0,9
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+1,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

44% Possession 56%
18 Shots 9
6 Shots on target 5
9 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 5
10 Corners 5
3 Offside 3
9 Free kicks against 10
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Bordeaux 16. · Paris SG 1.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Paris SG 12 10 1 1 +15 31
2 Nice 12 7 3 2 +14 24
3 Lens 13 7 3 3 +11 24
4 Marseille 12 6 4 2 +8 22
5 Rennes 12 5 4 3 +7 19
6 Lyon 12 5 4 3 +3 19
7 Angers 13 4 6 3 +3 18
8 Strasbourg 12 5 2 5 +6 17
9 Nantes 12 5 2 5 +2 17
10 Monaco 12 5 2 5 +1 17
11 Montpellier 12 4 4 4 +1 16
12 Lille 13 4 4 5 -3 16
13 Lorient 12 3 6 3 -6 15
14 Troyes 13 3 4 6 -8 13
15 Clermont 12 3 4 5 -9 13
16 Bordeaux 12 2 6 4 -8 12
17 Reims 12 2 5 5 -3 11
18 Brest 12 1 6 5 -6 9
19 Metz 12 1 4 7 -14 7
20 St Etienne 12 0 6 6 -14 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
8,80
U
5,62
B ✓
1,32
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,44
U2,5
2,76
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

R Buquet · 155 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,25 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.