OBOS-ligaen
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Grorud
Asane
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Ham-Kam
|
27 | 18 | 6 | 3 | +38 | 60 |
| 2 |
Aalesund
|
27 | 15 | 9 | 3 | +24 | 54 |
| 3 |
Jerv
|
26 | 14 | 8 | 4 | +6 | 50 |
| 4 |
Fredrikstad
|
26 | 13 | 6 | 7 | +16 | 45 |
| 5 |
Sogndal
|
26 | 11 | 7 | 8 | +8 | 40 |
| 6 |
Asane
|
27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | -8 | 38 |
| 7 |
KFUM Oslo
|
25 | 10 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 36 |
| 8 |
Ranheim
|
27 | 9 | 7 | 11 | +0 | 34 |
| 9 |
Sandnes ULF
|
27 | 9 | 7 | 11 | -7 | 34 |
| 10 |
Start
|
27 | 9 | 6 | 12 | -2 | 33 |
| 11 |
Raufoss
|
27 | 9 | 4 | 14 | -3 | 31 |
| 12 |
Bryne
|
27 | 9 | 4 | 14 | -6 | 31 |
| 13 |
Grorud
|
27 | 8 | 4 | 15 | -16 | 28 |
| 14 |
Ull/Kisa
|
27 | 6 | 8 | 13 | -14 | 26 |
| 15 |
Stjørdals-Blink
|
26 | 7 | 5 | 14 | -18 | 26 |
| 16 |
Strommen
|
27 | 3 | 12 | 12 | -15 | 21 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Jerv
Grorud
Grorud
Bryne
Grorud
Fredrikstad
Start
Grorud
Grorud
Raufoss
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.