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Premier League
Referee: J Gillett
Brentford
U S T T T
1–2
Full-time
Norwich
T U U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Brentford Norwich
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
33%
0%
Points per game
1,2
0,3
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
3,2
2,7
Scored
1,5
0,3
Conceded
1,7
2,3
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-2,0
This season — Premier League · 10/10 matches
Win Ø 15%
30%
0%
Points per game
1,2
0,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
40%
60%
Both score Ø 40%
50%
30%
Average goals
2,4
2,8
Scored
1,2
0,3
Conceded
1,2
2,5
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-2,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

65% Possession 35%
19 Shots 9
7 Shots on target 5
7 Blocked shots 1
4 Goalkeeper saves 6
6 Corners 2
2 Offside 3
12 Free kicks against 13
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Brentford 13. · Norwich 20.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Chelsea 10 8 1 1 +23 25
2 Man City 11 7 2 2 +16 23
3 Liverpool 10 6 4 0 +21 22
4 West Ham 10 6 2 2 +9 20
5 Man United 11 5 2 4 +2 17
6 Arsenal 10 5 2 3 -1 17
7 Wolves 10 5 1 4 +1 16
8 Brighton 10 4 4 2 +0 16
9 Tottenham 10 5 0 5 -7 15
10 Everton 10 4 2 4 +0 14
11 Leicester 10 4 2 4 -2 14
12 Southampton 11 3 5 3 -2 14
13 Brentford 10 3 3 4 +0 12
14 Crystal Palace 10 2 6 2 -1 12
15 Aston Villa 11 3 1 7 -6 10
16 Watford 10 3 1 6 -6 10
17 Leeds 10 2 4 4 -7 10
18 Burnley 10 1 4 5 -6 7
19 Newcastle 10 0 4 6 -12 4
20 Norwich 10 0 2 8 -22 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Brentford Norwich
Ivan Toney 🟨
4′
6′
M. Normann 0–1
C. Goode 🔁
↦ M. Jørgensen
12′
Charlie Goode 🟨
28′
29′
T. Pukki 0–2
32′
🟨 Mathias Normann
Half-time 0–2
S. Ghoddos 🔁
↦ V. Janelt
46′
Bryan Mbeumo ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
50′
52′
🟨 Andrew Omobamidele
1–2 R. Henry
S. Ghoddos
60′
M. Forss 🔁
↦ R. Henry
69′
74′
🔁 D. Giannoulis
↦ K. Dowell
78′
🔁 J. Sargent
↦ T. Pukki
90′
🟨 Max Aarons
95′
🔁 A. Idah
↦ M. Rashica
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Brentford

3-5-2
40 Álvaro Fernández G
22 M. Jørgensen D
18 P. Jansson D
3 R. Henry M
5 E. Pinnock D
6 C. Nørgaard M
7 Sergi Canós M
8 M. Jensen M
27 V. Janelt M
17 I. Toney F
19 B. Mbeumo F
Bench (9)
4 C. Goode
14 S. Ghoddos
9 M. Forss
15 F. Onyeka
30 M. Rasmussen
36 F. Stevens
41 M. Cox
28 M. Bidstrup
2 D. Thompson

Coach: T. Frank

Norwich

4-2-3-1
1 T. Krul G
4 B. Gibson D
2 M. Aarons D
21 B. Williams D
44 A. Omobamidele D
23 K. McLean M
17 M. Rashica M
16 M. Normann M
20 P. Lees Melou M
10 K. Dowell M
22 T. Pukki F
Bench (9)
30 D. Giannoulis
24 J. Sargent
35 A. Idah
11 P. Płacheta
18 C. Tzolis
19 J. Sørensen
7 L. Rupp
28 A. Gunn
8 B. Gilmour

Coach: D. Farke

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,63
U
3,92
B ✓
5,80
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,03
U2,5
1,82
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

J Gillett · 182 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,5 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,1 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,07 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.