Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Radomiak Radom
Gornik Zabrze
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Lech Poznan
|
13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | +20 | 28 |
| 2 |
Lechia Gdansk
|
13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | +13 | 26 |
| 3 |
Pogon Szczecin
|
13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | +12 | 25 |
| 4 |
Rakow
|
12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | +8 | 25 |
| 5 |
Slask Wroclaw
|
14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | +5 | 21 |
| 6 |
Radomiak Radom
|
13 | 4 | 7 | 2 | +4 | 19 |
| 7 |
Piast Gliwice
|
14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | +1 | 18 |
| 8 |
Jagiellonia
|
14 | 4 | 6 | 4 | -3 | 18 |
| 9 |
Wisla Plock
|
14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | +0 | 17 |
| 10 |
Cracovia
|
13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | -1 | 17 |
| 11 |
Stal Mielec
|
13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | -3 | 17 |
| 12 |
Zaglebie
|
12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | -4 | 17 |
| 13 |
Gornik Zabrze
|
12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 15 |
| 14 |
Wisla
|
13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | -9 | 14 |
| 15 |
Nieciecza
|
13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | -5 | 11 |
| 16 |
Warta Poznan
|
14 | 2 | 5 | 7 | -8 | 11 |
| 17 |
Legia
|
11 | 3 | 0 | 8 | -8 | 9 |
| 18 | Leczna | 13 | 1 | 4 | 8 | -20 | 7 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Cracovia
Radomiak Radom
Radomiak Radom
Jagiellonia
Radomiak Radom
Radomiak Radom
Nieciecza
Rakow
Radomiak Radom
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.