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Premiership

Referee: J Beaton

Hearts

S U U U T

5–2

Full-time

Dundee United

S S S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hearts Dundee United

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,5

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 33%

33%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

2,3

2,0

Scored

1,5

1,3

Conceded

0,8

0,7

Goal diff per game

+0,7

This season — Premiership · 12/12 matches

Win Ø 46%

42%

50%

Points per game

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 30%

42%

17%

Both score Ø 46%

67%

25%

Average goals

2,3

1,6

Scored

1,5

0,9

Conceded

0,8

0,7

Goal diff per game

+0,7

+0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

55% Possession 45%

22 Shots 13

12 Shots on target 6

5 Blocked shots 5

4 Goalkeeper saves 7

8 Corners 6

1 Offside 1

8 Free kicks against 13

0 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Hearts 3. · Dundee United 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rangers	12	8	3	1	+14	27
2	Celtic	12	7	2	3	+19	23
3	Hearts	12	5	6	1	+8	21
4	Dundee United	12	6	3	3	+3	21
5	Hibernian	11	4	3	4	+0	15
6	Aberdeen	12	4	3	5	-1	15
7	Motherwell	12	4	3	5	-6	15
8	St Mirren	12	3	5	4	-6	14
9	ST Johnstone	12	3	4	5	-4	13
10	Livingston	12	3	3	6	-6	12
11	Dundee	12	2	4	6	-14	10
12	Ross County	11	1	3	7	-7	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Celtic	6	4	2	0	+17	14
2	Hearts	6	3	3	0	+6	12
3	Rangers	6	3	3	0	+5	12
4	Dundee United	6	4	0	2	+1	12
5	Aberdeen	6	3	1	2	+2	10
6	Hibernian	6	3	1	2	+1	10
7	Motherwell	7	3	1	3	-4	10
8	Dundee	6	1	3	2	-5	6
9	St Mirren	6	1	2	3	-2	5
10	ST Johnstone	6	1	2	3	-3	5
11	Livingston	5	1	1	3	-2	4
12	Ross County	5	0	2	3	-4	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rangers	6	5	0	1	+9	15
2	Hearts	6	2	3	1	+2	9
3	Celtic	6	3	0	3	+2	9
4	Dundee United	6	2	3	1	+2	9
5	St Mirren	6	2	3	1	-4	9
6	ST Johnstone	6	2	2	2	-1	8
7	Livingston	7	2	2	3	-4	8
8	Hibernian	5	1	2	2	-1	5
9	Motherwell	5	1	2	2	-2	5
10	Aberdeen	6	1	2	3	-3	5
11	Ross County	6	1	1	4	-3	4
12	Dundee	6	1	1	4	-9	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.