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OBOS-ligaen
Referee: M Aslam
Fredrikstad
S S S T T
2–2
Full-time
Aalesund
S U U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Fredrikstad Aalesund
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,7
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 83%
83%
83%
Average goals
3,0
4,3
Scored
1,7
2,7
Conceded
1,3
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+1,0
This season — OBOS-ligaen · 26/27 matches
Win Ø 53%
50%
56%
Points per game
1,7
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 68%
73%
63%
Both score Ø 74%
77%
70%
Average goals
3,5
3,7
Scored
2,0
2,3
Conceded
1,4
1,4
Goal diff per game
+0,6
+0,9
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Fredrikstad 4. · Aalesund 2.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Ham-Kam 27 18 6 3 +38 60
2 Aalesund 27 15 9 3 +24 54
3 Jerv 26 14 8 4 +6 50
4 Fredrikstad 26 13 6 7 +16 45
5 Sogndal 26 11 7 8 +8 40
6 Asane 28 11 5 12 -9 38
7 KFUM Oslo 25 10 6 9 -3 36
8 Ranheim 27 9 7 11 +0 34
9 Sandnes ULF 27 9 7 11 -7 34
10 Start 27 9 6 12 -2 33
11 Raufoss 27 9 4 14 -3 31
12 Bryne 27 9 4 14 -6 31
13 Grorud 28 9 4 15 -15 31
14 Ull/Kisa 27 6 8 13 -14 26
15 Stjørdals-Blink 26 7 5 14 -18 26
16 Strommen 27 3 12 12 -15 21

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Fredrikstad Aalesund
Half-time 0–0
J. Lindstrom 🟨
54′
64′
S. Haugen 0–1
T. Drage 🔁
↦ O. Øby
69′
1–1 T. Ismaheel
70′
2–1 T. Drage
72′
75′
🔁 K. Ødemarksbakken
↦ T. Kallevåg
75′
🔁 K. Barmen
↦ Nenass
T. Ismaheel 🟨
76′
L. Begby 🔁
↦ J. Lindström
81′
82′
🟨 K. Barmen
P. Aukland 🟨
82′
83′
🔁 M. Diaw
↦ N. Castro
91′
Q. Jansen 2–2
N. Solberg 🔁
↦ H. Johansen
92′
Maikel 🔁
↦ T. Drage
92′
96′
🔁 M. Brajanac
↦ S. Haugen
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Fredrikstad

1 H. Jensen
26 M. Nielsen
5 P. Aukland
21 O. Jansson
14 J. Lindström
20 H. Åsheim
19 O. Øby
28 A. Hadzic
9 H. Johansen
15 R. Alba
12 T. Ismaheel
Bench (9)
7 T. Drage
18 L. Begby
6 N. Solberg
11 Maikel
4 S. Molde
13 A. Karstensen
17 A. Zoulakis
23 A. Aleesami
24 N. Williams

Coach: B. Johansen

Aalesund

13 M. Lansing
18 D. Ólafsson
16 J. Hatlehol
3 Q. Jansen
38 N. Hopland
14 T. Kallevåg
6 E. Segberg
11 S. Nordli
7 Nenass
22 S. Haugen
9 N. Castro
Bench (8)
15 K. Ødemarksbakken
29 K. Barmen
17 M. Diaw
10 M. Brajanac
1 A. Lie
4 J. Grønner
19 I. Määttä
33 S. Rafn

Coach: L. Nilsen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

M Aslam · 86 kamper i vår database

🟥 Red cards: 0,12 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.