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Ligue 1

Referee: B Dechepy

Paris SG

S S S S T

2–1

Full-time

Angers

U T U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Paris SG Angers

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 58%

83%

33%

Points per game

2,5

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

2,7

Scored

2,0

1,3

Conceded

0,7

1,3

Goal diff per game

+1,3

+0,0

This season — Ligue 1 · 9/9 matches

Win Ø 67%

89%

44%

Points per game

2,7

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

67%

33%

Both score Ø 56%

56%

Average goals

3,4

2,6

Scored

2,4

1,6

Conceded

1,0

Goal diff per game

+1,4

+0,6

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

73% Possession 27%

13 Shots 7

2 Shots on target 2

2 Blocked shots 3

1 Goalkeeper saves 1

6 Corners 5

3 Offside 3

8 Free kicks against 10

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Paris SG 1. · Angers 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	9	8	0	1	+13	24
2	Lens	9	5	3	1	+6	18
3	Nice	8	5	2	1	+13	17
4	Angers	9	4	4	1	+5	16
5	Marseille	8	4	2	2	+4	14
6	Monaco	9	4	2	3	+3	14
7	Lorient	9	3	5	1	+1	14
8	Lille	9	4	2	3	-1	14
9	Nantes	9	4	1	4	+3	13
10	Lyon	9	3	4	2	+1	13
11	Rennes	9	3	3	3	+3	12
12	Strasbourg	9	3	2	4	-1	11
13	Montpellier	9	2	4	3	+0	10
14	Reims	9	2	4	3	-1	10
15	Clermont	9	2	4	3	-8	10
16	Bordeaux	9	1	4	4	-9	7
17	Troyes	9	1	3	5	-6	6
18	Metz	9	1	3	5	-8	6
19	Brest	9	0	4	5	-8	4
20	St Etienne	9	0	4	5	-10	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	4	4	0	0	+9	12
2	Rennes	5	3	1	1	+7	10
3	Angers	5	3	1	1	+3	10
4	Lorient	4	3	1	0	+3	10
5	Lyon	5	2	3	0	+4	9
6	Nantes	5	3	0	2	+3	9
7	Lille	4	3	0	1	+0	9
8	Nice	4	2	2	0	+5	8
9	Montpellier	5	2	2	1	+3	8
10	Lens	5	2	2	1	+2	8
11	Marseille	4	2	1	1	+3	7
12	Strasbourg	5	2	1	2	+2	7
13	Monaco	5	2	1	2	+1	7
14	Reims	4	1	2	1	+0	5
15	Clermont	4	1	2	1	+0	5
16	St Etienne	5	0	3	2	-4	3
17	Troyes	4	0	2	2	-2	2
18	Brest	4	0	2	2	-3	2
19	Metz	4	0	2	2	-3	2
20	Bordeaux	4	0	2	2	-3	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	5	4	0	1	+4	12
2	Lens	4	3	1	0	+4	10
3	Nice	4	3	0	1	+8	9
4	Monaco	4	2	1	1	+2	7
5	Marseille	4	2	1	1	+1	7
6	Angers	4	1	3	0	+2	6
7	Lille	5	1	2	2	-1	5
8	Reims	5	1	2	2	-1	5
9	Bordeaux	5	1	2	2	-6	5
10	Clermont	5	1	2	2	-8	5
11	Nantes	4	1	1	2	+0	4
12	Lorient	5	0	4	1	-2	4
13	Strasbourg	4	1	1	2	-3	4
14	Lyon	4	1	1	2	-3	4
15	Troyes	5	1	1	3	-4	4
16	Metz	5	1	1	3	-5	4
17	Montpellier	4	0	2	2	-3	2
18	Rennes	4	0	2	2	-4	2
19	Brest	5	0	2	3	-5	2
20	St Etienne	4	0	1	3	-6	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.