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Ligue 1
Referee: F Schneider
Bordeaux
T T U T T
0–1
Full-time
Paris SG
S S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bordeaux Paris SG
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
0%
67%
Points per game
0,2
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,3
3,2
Scored
0,5
2,2
Conceded
1,8
1,0
Goal diff per game
-1,3
+1,2
This season — Ligue 1 · 27/27 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,2
2,1
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
56%
59%
Both score Ø 34%
41%
26%
Average goals
2,3
2,9
Scored
1,0
2,3
Conceded
1,2
0,6
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+1,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

43% Possession 57%
11 Shots 12
2 Shots on target 3
1 Blocked shots 4
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
8 Corners 1
2 Offside 4
8 Free kicks against 15
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Bordeaux 13. · Paris SG 3.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Lyon 28 17 8 3 +31 59
2 Lille 27 17 8 2 +30 59
3 Paris SG 27 18 3 6 +44 57
4 Monaco 27 17 4 6 +19 55
5 Lens 28 12 8 8 +3 44
6 Metz 28 11 8 9 +6 41
7 Marseille 26 10 9 7 +4 39
8 Montpellier 27 11 6 10 -3 39
9 Angers 28 11 6 11 -9 39
10 Rennes 27 10 8 9 +2 38
11 Nice 28 10 5 13 -5 35
12 Brest 28 10 4 14 -8 34
13 Bordeaux 27 9 6 12 -5 33
14 Reims 27 7 10 10 -2 31
15 Strasbourg 27 8 6 13 -6 30
16 St Etienne 28 7 9 12 -13 30
17 Lorient 27 7 5 15 -18 26
18 Nimes 28 7 4 17 -27 25
19 Nantes 27 4 12 11 -15 24
20 Dijon 28 2 9 17 -28 15

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Bordeaux Paris SG
Jean-Michaël Seri 🟨
18′
20′
Pablo Sarabia 0–1
I. Gueye
40′
🟨 Pablo Sarabia
43′
🟨 Danilo Pereira
Half-time 0–1
Yacine Adli 🟨
50′
H. Ben Arfa 🔁
↦ Hwang Ui-jo
65′
N. de Préville 🔁
↦ S. Kalu
65′
74′
🔁 Ander Herrera
↦ J. Draxler
T. Lacoux 🔁
↦ M. Zerkane
78′
A. Traore 🔁
↦ J. Seri
78′
78′
🔁 T. Kehrer
↦ C. Dagba
J. Briand 🔁
↦ Y. Sabaly
87′
87′
🔁 A. Diallo
↦ Pablo Sarabia
88′
🟨 Layvin Kurzawa
Remi Oudin 🟨
90′
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Bordeaux

3-4-3
1 B. Costil G
6 L. Koscielny D
4 Mexer D
23 L. Benito D
20 Y. Sabaly M
15 J. Seri M
17 M. Zerkane F
19 Y. Adli M
18 Hwang Ui-jo F
28 R. Oudin M
10 S. Kalu F
Bench (9)
8 H. Ben Arfa
12 N. de Préville
27 T. Lacoux
31 A. Traore
7 J. Briand
25 E. Kwateng
33 I. Sissokho
16 G. Poussin
29 M. Poundjé

Coach: J. Gasset

Paris SG

4-2-3-1
1 K. Navas G
20 L. Kurzawa D
5 Marquinhos D
3 P. Kimpembe D
31 C. Dagba D
27 I. Gueye M
19 Pablo Sarabia M
15 Danilo Pereira M
23 J. Draxler M
12 Rafinha M
9 M. Icardi F
Bench (9)
21 Ander Herrera
4 T. Kehrer
22 A. Diallo
38 E. Michut
32 T. Pembele
8 L. Paredes
34 X. Simons
25 M. Bakker
16 Sergio Rico

Coach: M. Pochettino

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
7,17
U
4,52
B ✓
1,45
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,70
U2,5 ✓
2,15
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

F Schneider · 47 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
26,8 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.