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2. Bundesliga
Karlsruhe
T U S T T
1–1
Full-time
Hamburg
U U U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Karlsruhe Hamburg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,2
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
100%
33%
Both score Ø 92%
100%
83%
Average goals
4,0
2,5
Scored
1,7
1,5
Conceded
2,3
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+0,5
This season — 2. Bundesliga · 12/12 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 79%
75%
83%
Average goals
3,2
2,8
Scored
1,6
1,6
Conceded
1,6
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

22 Shots 14
7 Shots on target 3
9 Corners 3
14 Free kicks against 14
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Karlsruhe 11. · Hamburg 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 St Pauli 12 8 2 2 +17 26
2 Regensburg 13 7 4 2 +14 25
3 Paderborn 13 7 3 3 +12 24
4 Schalke 04 12 7 1 4 +8 22
5 Nurnberg 13 5 6 2 +6 21
6 Darmstadt 12 6 2 4 +13 20
7 Hamburg 12 4 7 1 +5 19
8 Werder Bremen 13 5 4 4 +0 19
9 Heidenheim 12 5 3 4 -4 18
10 Hansa Rostock 13 5 2 6 -6 17
11 Karlsruhe 12 4 4 4 +0 16
12 Fortuna Dusseldorf 13 4 4 5 -1 16
13 Holstein Kiel 13 3 5 5 -9 14
14 Dresden 13 4 1 8 -4 13
15 Hannover 13 3 4 6 -8 13
16 Sandhausen 12 3 3 6 -11 12
17 Erzgebirge Aue 12 1 5 6 -10 8
18 Ingolstadt 13 1 2 10 -22 5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,07
U ✓
3,53
B
2,20
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,64
U2,5 ✓
2,24
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.