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Bundesliga

Referee: F Zwayer

RB Leipzig

S S U S U

2–1

Full-time

Dortmund

T S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

RB Leipzig Dortmund

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

50%

83%

Points per game

2,0

2,5

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

3,3

Scored

2,7

2,3

Conceded

0,7

1,0

Goal diff per game

+2,0

+1,3

This season — Bundesliga · 10/10 matches

Win Ø 60%

40%

80%

Points per game

1,5

2,4

Over 2.5 Ø 65%

50%

80%

Both score Ø 65%

50%

80%

Average goals

3,1

4,2

Scored

2,1

2,7

Conceded

1,0

1,5

Goal diff per game

+1,1

+1,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

54% Possession 46%

15 Shots 9

7 Shots on target 3

2 Blocked shots 7

2 Goalkeeper saves 4

5 Corners 6

4 Offside 3

12 Free kicks against 18

3 Yellow cards 5

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match RB Leipzig 8. · Dortmund 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	11	9	1	1	+29	28
2	Dortmund	10	8	0	2	+12	24
3	Freiburg	11	6	4	1	+9	22
4	Wolfsburg	11	6	1	4	+0	19
5	Leverkusen	10	5	2	3	+7	17
6	Mainz	11	5	2	4	+4	17
7	Union Berlin	10	4	4	2	+0	16
8	RB Leipzig	10	4	3	3	+11	15
9	M'gladbach	11	4	3	4	-1	15
10	Hoffenheim	11	4	2	5	+2	14
11	FC Koln	10	3	4	3	-3	13
12	Bochum	11	4	1	6	-8	13
13	Hertha	10	4	0	6	-12	12
14	Stuttgart	11	2	4	5	-5	10
15	Ein Frankfurt	10	1	6	3	-5	9
16	Augsburg	11	2	3	6	-11	9
17	Bielefeld	11	1	5	5	-9	8
18	Greuther Furth	10	0	1	9	-20	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Dortmund	6	6	0	0	+11	18
2	Bayern Munich	6	5	0	1	+17	15
3	RB Leipzig	5	4	0	1	+13	12
4	Freiburg	5	3	2	0	+6	11
5	Mainz	6	3	2	1	+6	11
6	FC Koln	5	3	2	0	+5	11
7	M'gladbach	5	3	2	0	+4	11
8	Union Berlin	6	3	2	1	+1	11
9	Hoffenheim	5	3	1	1	+7	10
10	Bochum	5	3	1	1	+4	10
11	Wolfsburg	6	3	1	2	-1	10
12	Stuttgart	6	2	1	3	+2	7
13	Augsburg	5	2	1	2	-3	7
14	Hertha	4	2	0	2	+0	6
15	Leverkusen	5	2	0	3	-2	6
16	Ein Frankfurt	5	0	4	1	-1	4
17	Bielefeld	6	0	3	3	-7	3
18	Greuther Furth	4	0	1	3	-5	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	5	4	1	0	+12	13
2	Leverkusen	5	3	2	0	+9	11
3	Freiburg	6	3	2	1	+3	11
4	Wolfsburg	5	3	0	2	+1	9
5	Dortmund	4	2	0	2	+1	6
6	Mainz	5	2	0	3	-2	6
7	Hertha	6	2	0	4	-12	6
8	Union Berlin	4	1	2	1	-1	5
9	Bielefeld	5	1	2	2	-2	5
10	Ein Frankfurt	5	1	2	2	-4	5
11	Hoffenheim	6	1	1	4	-5	4
12	M'gladbach	6	1	1	4	-5	4
13	RB Leipzig	5	0	3	2	-2	3
14	Stuttgart	5	0	3	2	-7	3
15	Bochum	6	1	0	5	-12	3
16	FC Koln	5	0	2	3	-8	2
17	Augsburg	6	0	2	4	-8	2
18	Greuther Furth	6	0	0	6	-15	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.