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Primeira Liga
Referee: David Silva
Vizela
U U U T U
1–1
Full-time
Estoril
T U U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Vizela Estoril
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
0%
33%
Points per game
0,8
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
17%
33%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
1,8
2,3
Scored
0,8
1,3
Conceded
1,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,3
This season — Primeira Liga · 10/10 matches
Win Ø 30%
10%
50%
Points per game
0,9
1,9
Over 2.5 Ø 40%
40%
40%
Both score Ø 60%
60%
60%
Average goals
2,3
2,3
Scored
0,8
1,5
Conceded
1,5
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

48% Possession 52%
12 Shots 8
3 Shots on target 6
3 Blocked shots 0
5 Goalkeeper saves 2
3 Corners 1
0 Offside 1
13 Free kicks against 16
2 Yellow cards 3
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Vizela 14. · Estoril 5.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Porto 10 8 2 0 +18 26
2 Sp Lisbon 10 8 2 0 +11 26
3 Benfica 10 8 1 1 +15 25
4 Sp Braga 10 5 4 1 +8 19
5 Estoril 10 5 4 1 +7 19
6 Portimonense 10 4 2 4 -1 14
7 Guimaraes 10 3 4 3 +2 13
8 Gil Vicente 11 3 4 4 +0 13
9 Pacos Ferreira 10 2 5 3 -3 11
10 Boavista 11 2 5 4 -6 11
11 Famalicao 11 2 4 5 -1 10
12 Arouca 11 2 4 5 -6 10
13 Tondela 10 3 0 7 -6 9
14 Vizela 10 1 6 3 -7 9
15 Belenenses 10 1 5 4 -6 8
16 Moreirense 10 1 5 4 -7 8
17 Maritimo 10 1 4 5 -5 7
18 Santa Clara 10 1 3 6 -13 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Vizela Estoril
Hugues Evrard 🟨
28′
Half-time 0–0
Samú 🔁
↦ H. Zagbayou
46′
Kiko Bondoso 🔁
↦ Nuno Moreira
46′
50′
🟨 Leonardo Ruiz
1–0 Samú
53′
Guilherme Schettine ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
61′
63′
🔁 Francisco Geraldes
↦ Gamboa
63′
🔁 Chiquinho
↦ Bruno Lourenço
63′
🔁 André
↦ L. Acevedo
68′
André 1–1
Arthur Gomes
F. Cann 🔁
↦ A. Méndez
84′
85′
🔁 António Xavier
↦ Arthur Gomes
88′
🟨 Joãozinho
89′
🟨 Nahuel Ferraresi
Kiki Afonso 🟨
94′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Vizela

4-2-3-1
87 Charles G
24 Kiki Afonso D
4 Ivanildo Fernandes D
39 K. Kouao D
25 M. Aidara D
6 Claudemir M
17 Marcos Paulo M
13 H. Zagbayou M
19 A. Méndez M
79 Nuno Moreira M
95 Guilherme Schettine F
Bench (9)
20 Samú
10 Kiko Bondoso
99 F. Cann
70 A. Alvarado
54 Gonçalo Cunha
37 R. Ofori
31 Manuel Baldé
8 Raphael Guzzo
82 Tomás Silva

Coach: Álvaro Pacheco

Estoril

4-2-3-1
99 Daniel Leite G
31 Joãozinho D
4 Lucas Áfrico D
2 Carles Soria D
28 N. Ferraresi D
21 Gamboa M
20 Bruno Lourenço M
11 Arthur Gomes M
32 L. Rosier M
18 L. Acevedo F
10 André Franco M
Bench (9)
6 Francisco Geraldes
7 Chiquinho
9 André
92 António Xavier
12 Thiago
97 Patrick William
8 Rodrigo Valente
17 Rui Fonte
22 David Bruno

Coach: Bruno Pinheiro

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,53
U ✓
3,14
B
2,89
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,16
U2,5 ✓
1,68
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

David Silva · 33 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,7 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
28,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,30 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.