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Ligue 1
Referee: E Wattellier
Reims
U T S U T
3–1
Full-time
Nantes
T T T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Reims Nantes
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
1,0
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,5
2,5
Scored
1,2
1,5
Conceded
1,3
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,5
This season — Ligue 1 · 7/7 matches
Win Ø 29%
14%
43%
Points per game
1,0
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 29%
29%
29%
Both score Ø 43%
43%
43%
Average goals
2,1
2,4
Scored
1,0
1,4
Conceded
1,1
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,1
+0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

45% Possession 55%
9 Shots 11
5 Shots on target 2
2 Blocked shots 4
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
3 Corners 7
1 Offside 2
14 Free kicks against 10
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Reims 15. · Nantes 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Paris SG 8 8 0 0 +15 24
2 Nice 7 4 2 1 +12 14
3 Marseille 6 4 2 0 +7 14
4 Lorient 8 3 4 1 +1 13
5 Angers 7 3 3 1 +4 12
6 Lens 7 3 3 1 +3 12
7 Lyon 8 3 3 2 +1 12
8 Lille 8 3 2 3 -3 11
9 Nantes 7 3 1 3 +3 10
10 Strasbourg 8 3 1 4 -1 10
11 Rennes 8 2 3 3 +1 9
12 Montpellier 8 2 3 3 +0 9
13 Clermont 7 2 3 2 -6 9
14 Monaco 7 2 2 3 -2 8
15 Reims 7 1 4 2 -1 7
16 Bordeaux 8 1 4 3 -6 7
17 Troyes 7 1 2 4 -4 5
18 Brest 7 0 4 3 -6 4
19 Metz 7 0 3 4 -8 3
20 St Etienne 8 0 3 5 -10 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Reims Nantes
Thomas Foket 🟨
15′
25′
🟨 Moses Simon
Half-time 0–0
A. Flips 🔁
↦ M. van Bergen
46′
1–0 T. Foket
A. Flips
51′
62′
M. Simon 1–1
Chirivella
63′
🔁 W. Geubbels
↦ W. Cyprien
Moreto Cassamá 🔁
↦ T. Foket
70′
N. Mbuku 🔁
↦ A. Matusiwa
70′
H. Ekitike 🔁
↦ P. Koffi
70′
2–1 H. Ekitike
A. Flips
72′
3–1 H. Ekitike
I. Kebbal
78′
79′
🔁 O. Bukari
↦ R. Kolo Muani
79′
🔁 K. Coulibaly
↦ N. Pallois
D. Lopy 🔁
↦ I. Kebbal
83′
88′
🔁 S. Moutoussamy
↦ Chirivella
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Reims

3-4-1-2
1 P. Rajković G
5 Y. Abdelhamid D
32 T. Foket M
2 W. Faes D
6 A. Gravillon D
3 G. Konan M
21 A. Matusiwa M
15 M. Munetsi M
20 I. Kebbal F
19 M. van Bergen F
34 P. Koffi F
Bench (9)
12 A. Flips
23 Moreto Cassamá
11 N. Mbuku
22 H. Ekitike
26 D. Lopy
28 B. Locko
17 A. Donis
13 F. Doucouré
16 Y. Diouf

Coach: Óscar García

Nantes

4-3-3
1 A. Lafont G
24 S. Corchia D
4 N. Pallois D
21 J. Castelletto D
14 C. Traoré D
3 Andrei Girotto M
8 W. Cyprien M
5 Chirivella M
10 L. Blas F
27 M. Simon F
23 R. Kolo Muani F
Bench (9)
19 W. Geubbels
26 O. Bukari
7 K. Coulibaly
18 S. Moutoussamy
6 R. Pereira de Sa
12 D. Appiah
11 M. Coco
30 D. Petrić
29 Q. Merlin

Coach: A. Kombouare

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,61
U
3,16
B
2,87
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,34
U2,5
1,61
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

E Wattellier · 152 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,0 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
21,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.