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Ligue 1
Referee: B Millot
Nantes
T U S T T
0–2
Full-time
Nice
T S U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Nantes Nice
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,2
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
17%
67%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
1,7
3,3
Scored
0,8
2,3
Conceded
0,8
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+1,3
This season — Ligue 1 · 4/3 matches
Win Ø 46%
25%
67%
Points per game
1,0
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
0%
67%
Both score Ø 13%
25%
0%
Average goals
1,5
2,7
Scored
0,8
2,7
Conceded
0,8
0,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+2,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

50% Possession 50%
19 Shots 9
7 Shots on target 3
4 Blocked shots 4
1 Goalkeeper saves 6
8 Corners 3
0 Offside 1
7 Free kicks against 13
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Nantes 13. · Nice 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Paris SG 5 5 0 0 +11 15
2 Angers 5 3 2 0 +7 11
3 Marseille 4 3 1 0 +5 10
4 Lens 5 2 3 0 +3 9
5 Clermont 5 2 2 1 +0 8
6 Lorient 5 2 2 1 +0 8
7 Nice 3 2 1 0 +8 7
8 Montpellier 5 2 1 2 +2 7
9 Reims 5 1 3 1 +0 6
10 Lyon 4 1 2 1 -2 5
11 Rennes 5 1 2 2 -3 5
12 Lille 5 1 2 2 -4 5
13 Nantes 4 1 1 2 +0 4
14 Strasbourg 4 1 1 2 -2 4
15 Troyes 5 1 1 3 -2 4
16 Monaco 5 1 1 3 -4 4
17 Brest 5 0 3 2 -4 3
18 Metz 5 0 3 2 -4 3
19 St Etienne 5 0 3 2 -4 3
20 Bordeaux 5 0 2 3 -7 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Nantes Nice
Andrei Girotto 🟨
31′
33′
🟨 Hicham Boudaoui
Half-time 0–0
Fábio 🟨
51′
64′
🟨 Mario Lemina
65′
🟨 Dante
75′
K. Dolberg 0–1
M. Bard
78′
🔁 K. Thuram-Ulien
↦ M. Lemina
78′
🔁 A. Delort
↦ C. Stengs
S. Moutoussamy 🔁
↦ Andrei Girotto
79′
K. Coulibaly 🔁
↦ O. Bukari
79′
80′
A. Gouiri 0–2
A. Delort
84′
🔁 H. Kamara
↦ H. Boudaoui
C. Traoré 🔁
↦ Fábio
87′
M. Coco 🔁
↦ M. Simon
87′
W. Cyprien 🔁
↦ Chirivella
87′
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Nantes

4-2-3-1
1 A. Lafont G
2 Fábio D
24 S. Corchia D
4 N. Pallois D
21 J. Castelletto D
3 Andrei Girotto M
5 Chirivella M
10 L. Blas M
27 M. Simon M
23 R. Kolo Muani F
26 O. Bukari M
Bench (9)
18 S. Moutoussamy
7 K. Coulibaly
14 C. Traoré
11 M. Coco
8 W. Cyprien
16 R. Descamps
28 R. Emond
6 R. Pereira de Sa
33 Y. M'Bemba

Coach: A. Kombouare

Nice

4-4-2
40 W. Benítez G
4 Dante D
25 J. Todibo D
26 M. Bard D
5 F. Daniliuc D
18 M. Lemina M
8 P. Rosario M
28 H. Boudaoui M
9 K. Dolberg F
11 A. Gouiri F
22 C. Stengs M
Bench (9)
19 K. Thuram-Ulien
7 A. Delort
13 H. Kamara
1 M. Bulka
24 E. Guessand
16 T. Boulhendi
29 L. Da Cunha
20 Y. Atal
33 J. Smith

Coach: C. Galtier

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,31
U
3,33
B ✓
2,25
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,09
U2,5 ✓
1,76
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

B Millot · 146 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
26,0 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.