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Ligue 1
Referee: A Delerue
Troyes
S S S S T
1–2
Full-time
Paris SG
S S U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Troyes Paris SG
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 83%
83%
83%
Points per game
2,5
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
3,0
3,3
Scored
2,2
2,5
Conceded
0,8
0,8
Goal diff per game
+1,3
+1,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

43% Possession 57%
15 Shots 12
7 Shots on target 3
4 Blocked shots 3
0 Goalkeeper saves 6
9 Corners 1
1 Offside 1
3 Free kicks against 15
1 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

3. Mar -18 Troyes – Paris SG 0–2 29. Nov -17 Paris SG – Troyes 2–0 13. Mar -16 Troyes – Paris SG 0–9 28. Nov -15 Paris SG – Troyes 4–1

Match report

Troyes Paris SG
1–0 O. El Hajjam ⚽
D. Chambost
9′
19′
⚽ A. Hakimi 1–1
Ander Herrera
21′
⚽ M. Icardi 1–2
K. Mbappé
33′
🟨 Presnel Kimpembe
45′
🟨 Achraf Hakimi
Half-time 1–2
Mama Baldé 🔁
↦ D. Chambost
63′
70′
🟨 Mauro Icardi
76′
🔁 E. Ebimbe
↦ J. Draxler
M. Kukharevych 🔁
↦ Y. Touzghar
80′
T. Banhie-Zoukrou 🔁
↦ O. El Hajjam
86′
Youssouf Koné 🟨
89′
90′
🔁 Pablo Sarabia
↦ K. Mbappé
92′
🟨 Pablo Sarabia
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Troyes

5-4-1
30 G. Gallon G
8 J. Giraudon D
19 O. El Hajjam D
3 Y. Koné D
29 I. Kaboré D
15 K. Azamoum D
10 F. Tardieu M
6 R. Kouamé M
14 D. Chambost M
7 Y. Touzghar F
20 R. Ripart M
Bench (9)
25 Mama Baldé
21 M. Kukharevych
35 T. Banhie-Zoukrou
36 D. Mazou-Sacko
27 B. Dominguès
23 F. Krastev
34 R. Kohon
12 L. Lumeka
40 J. Moulin

Coach: L. Batlles

Paris SG

4-4-2
1 K. Navas G
3 P. Kimpembe D
24 T. Kehrer D
22 A. Diallo D
2 A. Hakimi D
18 G. Wijnaldum M
21 Ander Herrera M
15 Danilo Pereira M
23 J. Draxler M
9 M. Icardi F
7 K. Mbappé F
Bench (9)
36 E. Ebimbe
19 Pablo Sarabia
12 Rafinha
29 A. Kalimuendo-Muinga
16 Sergio Rico
20 L. Kurzawa
38 E. Michut
33 N. Bitumazala
31 E. Bitshiabu

Coach: M. Pochettino

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
10,99
🔒
U
5,89
🔒
B ✓
1,27
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
1,57
🔒
U2,5
2,40
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

A Delerue · 60 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,7 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
25,2 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,28 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.