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Ligue 1

Referee: E Wattellier

Brest

T U T U U

2–4

Full-time

Paris SG

U S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Brest Paris SG

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

83%

Points per game

0,5

2,7

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

2,7

3,3

Scored

0,8

2,5

Conceded

1,8

0,8

Goal diff per game

-1,0

+1,7

This season — Ligue 1 · 2/2 matches

Win Ø 50%

100%

Points per game

1,0

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

100%

Both score Ø 100%

100%

Average goals

2,0

4,5

Scored

1,0

3,0

Conceded

1,0

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+1,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

26% Possession 74%

11 Shots 16

3 Shots on target 8

3 Blocked shots 4

4 Goalkeeper saves 1

3 Corners 9

2 Offside 1

8 Free kicks against 7

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Brest 11. · Paris SG 3. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Angers	2	2	0	0	+5	6
2	Clermont	2	2	0	0	+4	6
3	Paris SG	2	2	0	0	+3	6
4	Nice	2	1	1	0	+4	4
5	Nantes	2	1	1	0	+2	4
6	Marseille	2	1	1	0	+1	4
7	Lorient	2	1	1	0	+1	4
8	Reims	2	0	2	0	+0	2
9	St Etienne	2	0	2	0	+0	2
10	Lens	2	0	2	0	+0	2
11	Brest	2	0	2	0	+0	2
12	Rennes	2	0	2	0	+0	2
13	Montpellier	2	0	1	1	-1	1
14	Monaco	2	0	1	1	-1	1
15	Metz	2	0	1	1	-2	1
16	Bordeaux	2	0	1	1	-2	1
17	Lyon	2	0	1	1	-3	1
18	Lille	2	0	1	1	-4	1
19	Troyes	2	0	0	2	-3	0
20	Strasbourg	2	0	0	2	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Angers	1	1	0	0	+3	3
2	Paris SG	1	1	0	0	+2	3
3	Nantes	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	Clermont	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Lorient	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Reims	1	0	1	0	+0	1
7	Metz	1	0	1	0	+0	1
8	Marseille	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Lens	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Monaco	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Lyon	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Brest	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	St Etienne	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	Rennes	1	0	1	0	+0	1
15	Nice	1	0	1	0	+0	1
16	Montpellier	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Troyes	1	0	0	1	-1	0
18	Bordeaux	1	0	0	1	-2	0
19	Strasbourg	1	0	0	1	-2	0
20	Lille	1	0	0	1	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Nice	1	1	0	0	+4	3
2	Clermont	1	1	0	0	+2	3
3	Angers	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	Marseille	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Paris SG	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Montpellier	1	0	1	0	+0	1
7	Lille	1	0	1	0	+0	1
8	Bordeaux	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	St Etienne	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Nantes	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Brest	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Rennes	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Lorient	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	Lens	1	0	1	0	+0	1
15	Reims	1	0	1	0	+0	1
16	Monaco	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Strasbourg	1	0	0	1	-2	0
18	Metz	1	0	0	1	-2	0
19	Troyes	1	0	0	1	-2	0
20	Lyon	1	0	0	1	-3	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.