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Ligue 1

Referee: A Petit

Lorient

S T T S T

2–3

Full-time

Lens

T S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lorient Lens

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,0

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

2,0

2,8

Scored

0,8

1,3

Conceded

1,2

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,3

-0,2

This season — Ligue 1 · 2/2 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

3,0

2,0

Scored

1,5

1,0

Conceded

1,5

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

46% Possession 54%

6 Shots 12

3 Shots on target 6

1 Blocked shots 1

3 Goalkeeper saves 1

4 Corners 2

20 Free kicks against 16

4 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Lorient 12. · Lens 13. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lille	3	2	1	0	+2	7
2	St Etienne	2	2	0	0	+4	6
3	Nice	3	2	0	1	+1	6
4	Bordeaux	3	1	2	0	+2	5
5	Lyon	2	1	1	0	+3	4
6	Monaco	2	1	1	0	+1	4
7	Rennes	2	1	1	0	+1	4
8	Nantes	2	1	1	0	+1	4
9	Nimes	2	1	0	1	+3	3
10	Montpellier	2	1	0	1	+1	3
11	Marseille	1	1	0	0	+1	3
12	Lorient	2	1	0	1	+0	3
13	Lens	2	1	0	1	+0	3
14	Angers	2	1	0	1	-1	3
15	Reims	2	0	1	1	-1	1
16	Paris SG	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Metz	2	0	0	2	-2	0
18	Dijon	2	0	0	2	-4	0
19	Brest	2	0	0	2	-5	0
20	Strasbourg	3	0	0	3	-6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	St Etienne	2	2	0	0	+4	6
2	Lille	2	1	1	0	+1	4
3	Nimes	1	1	0	0	+4	3
4	Lyon	1	1	0	0	+3	3
5	Montpellier	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	Lorient	1	1	0	0	+2	3
7	Rennes	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Nice	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Nantes	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Lens	1	1	0	0	+1	3
11	Bordeaux	2	0	2	0	+0	2
12	Monaco	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Brest	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	Reims	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Dijon	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Metz	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Angers	1	0	0	1	-2	0
18	Strasbourg	1	0	0	1	-2	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bordeaux	1	1	0	0	+2	3
2	Marseille	1	1	0	0	+1	3
3	Lille	1	1	0	0	+1	3
4	Angers	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Monaco	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Nice	2	1	0	1	+0	3
7	Reims	1	0	1	0	+0	1
8	Rennes	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Lyon	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Nantes	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Montpellier	1	0	0	1	-1	0
12	Lens	1	0	0	1	-1	0
13	Nimes	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	Metz	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Paris SG	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Lorient	1	0	0	1	-2	0
17	Dijon	1	0	0	1	-3	0
18	Strasbourg	2	0	0	2	-4	0
19	Brest	1	0	0	1	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.