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Ligue 1
Referee: Johan Hamel
Reims
S S T
4–1
Full-time
Lorient
U U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Reims Lorient
Last 6 — all competitions · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 34%
67%
0%
Points per game
2,0
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 17%
33%
0%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
1,7
1,0
Scored
1,0
0,3
Conceded
0,7
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-0,3
This season — Ligue 1 · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 34%
67%
0%
Points per game
2,0
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 17%
33%
0%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
1,7
1,0
Scored
1,0
0,3
Conceded
0,7
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

48% Possession 52%
14 Shots 13
10 Shots on target 4
1 Blocked shots 4
3 Goalkeeper saves 5
5 Corners 5
0 Offside 2
0 Free kicks against 0
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Reims 7. · Lorient 16. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Paris SG 3 3 0 0 +4 9
2 Bastia 3 2 1 0 +4 7
3 Lyon 4 2 1 1 +4 7
4 Angers 3 2 1 0 +4 7
5 Nantes 3 2 1 0 +2 7
6 Rennes 3 2 0 1 +1 6
7 Reims 3 2 0 1 +1 6
8 Caen 4 2 0 2 -3 6
9 Monaco 3 1 2 0 +1 5
10 Nice 3 1 1 1 +0 4
11 Toulouse 3 1 1 1 +0 4
12 St Etienne 3 1 1 1 +0 4
13 Marseille 4 1 0 3 +2 3
14 Guingamp 4 1 0 3 -3 3
15 Bordeaux 3 0 2 1 -1 2
16 Lorient 3 0 2 1 -1 2
17 Lille 3 0 2 1 -1 2
18 Troyes 3 0 2 1 -6 2
19 Gazelec FC Ajaccio 3 0 1 2 -4 1
20 Montpellier 3 0 0 3 -4 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Reims Lorient
1–0 G. Charbonnier ⚽
23′
44′
🟨 Benjamin Moukandjo
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 B. Jeannot
↦ F. Bellugou
48′
⚽ Didier Bouanga 1–1
Franck Signorino 🟨
51′
2–1 N. de Préville ⚽
54′
Atila Turan 🟨
57′
3–1 G. Kyei ⚽
N. de Préville
66′
T. Siebatcheu 🔁
↦ G. Kyei
68′
O. MFulu 🔁
↦ G. Charbonnier
68′
71′
🔁 R. Abdullah
↦ W. Mesloub
77′
🔁 M. Fofana
↦ Didier Bouanga
Jordan Siebatcheu 🟨
78′
F. Bulot 🔁
↦ N. de Préville
80′
4–1 A. Turan ⚽
T. Siebatcheu
85′
Full-time 4–1

Line-ups

Reims

30 J. Placide G
3 F. Signorino D
25 A. Weber D
23 A. Mandi D
15 A. Turan D
28 A. Conte D
6 A. Devaux M
19 A. Peuget M
10 G. Charbonnier F
12 N. de Préville F
29 G. Kyei F
Bench (7)
33 T. Siebatcheu
26 O. MFulu
18 F. Bulot
22 M. Tacalfred
2 M. Fofana
40 C. Garel
8 P. Oniangué

Lorient

30 F. Chaigneau
2 L. Koné D
6 F. Bellugou M
25 L. Gassama D
4 V. Le Goff D
24 W. Lautoa D
14 Raphaël Guerreiro D
17 W. Mesloub M
7 D. Ndong M
12 B. Moukandjo F
20 Didier Bouanga
Bench (7)
22 B. Jeannot
13 R. Abdullah
23 M. Fofana
16 I. Sy
19 R. Philippoteaux
29 P. Paye
28 M. Barthelmé

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Johan Hamel · 65 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
19,0 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,34 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.