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Ligue 1

Referee: J Hamel

St Etienne

S T S U S

1–1

Full-time

Brest

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St Etienne Brest

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/1 matches

Win Ø 34%

67%

Points per game

2,2

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

50%

Both score Ø 75%

50%

100%

Average goals

2,7

2,0

Scored

1,8

1,0

Conceded

0,8

1,0

Goal diff per game

+1,0

+0,0

This season — Ligue 1 · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 50%

100%

Points per game

3,0

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

100%

Both score Ø 100%

100%

Average goals

3,0

2,0

Scored

2,0

1,0

Conceded

1,0

Goal diff per game

+1,0

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

55% Possession 45%

19 Shots 9

5 Shots on target 4

4 Blocked shots 2

2 Goalkeeper saves 4

4 Corners 2

3 Offside 2

16 Free kicks against 8

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match St Etienne 7. · Brest 12. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lyon	2	2	0	0	+9	6
2	Nice	2	2	0	0	+2	6
3	Metz	2	1	1	0	+3	4
4	Toulouse	2	1	1	0	+1	4
5	Paris SG	1	1	0	0	+3	3
6	Reims	1	1	0	0	+2	3
7	St Etienne	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Rennes	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Amiens	2	1	0	1	+0	3
10	Lille	2	1	0	1	+0	3
11	Angers	2	1	0	1	-4	3
12	Brest	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Strasbourg	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	Montpellier	2	0	1	1	-1	1
15	Nantes	2	0	1	1	-1	1
16	Bordeaux	2	0	1	1	-2	1
17	Marseille	2	0	1	1	-2	1
18	Dijon	2	0	0	2	-2	0
19	Nimes	2	0	0	2	-4	0
20	Monaco	2	0	0	2	-6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lyon	1	1	0	0	+6	3
2	Metz	1	1	0	0	+3	3
3	Paris SG	1	1	0	0	+3	3
4	Angers	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Nice	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Lille	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Toulouse	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Amiens	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Bordeaux	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Brest	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Strasbourg	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Nantes	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Dijon	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	Nimes	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Montpellier	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Marseille	1	0	0	1	-2	0
17	Monaco	1	0	0	1	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lyon	1	1	0	0	+3	3
2	Reims	1	1	0	0	+2	3
3	St Etienne	1	1	0	0	+1	3
4	Nice	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Rennes	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Montpellier	1	0	1	0	+0	1
7	Toulouse	1	0	1	0	+0	1
8	Metz	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Marseille	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Amiens	1	0	0	1	-1	0
11	Nantes	1	0	0	1	-1	0
12	Dijon	1	0	0	1	-1	0
13	Lille	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	Bordeaux	1	0	0	1	-2	0
15	Monaco	1	0	0	1	-3	0
16	Nimes	1	0	0	1	-3	0
17	Angers	1	0	0	1	-6	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.