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Ligue 1
Referee: T Léonard
Brest
S T U T S
2–1
Full-time
Amiens
T U T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Brest Amiens
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
33%
0%
Points per game
1,2
0,3
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 58%
33%
83%
Average goals
3,3
3,5
Scored
1,8
1,0
Conceded
1,5
2,5
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-1,5
This season — Ligue 1 · 20/20 matches
Win Ø 25%
30%
20%
Points per game
1,3
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 55%
45%
65%
Both score Ø 60%
45%
75%
Average goals
2,6
3,1
Scored
1,3
1,2
Conceded
1,3
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

54% Possession 46%
10 Shots 8
3 Shots on target 3
2 Blocked shots 4
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
2 Corners 7
1 Offside 3
13 Free kicks against 17
2 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Brest 14. · Amiens 18.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Paris SG 20 16 1 3 +36 49
2 Marseille 21 12 6 3 +9 42
3 Rennes 21 11 4 6 +7 37
4 Nantes 20 10 2 8 +1 32
5 Lille 20 9 4 7 +2 31
6 Montpellier 20 8 6 6 +8 30
7 Angers 21 8 6 7 -2 30
8 Lyon 20 8 5 7 +12 29
9 Reims 20 7 8 5 +4 29
10 Monaco 20 8 5 7 +2 29
11 Nice 21 8 5 8 +1 29
12 Strasbourg 20 8 3 9 -2 27
13 Bordeaux 20 7 5 8 +5 26
14 Brest 20 6 7 7 +0 25
15 St Etienne 20 7 4 9 -9 25
16 Dijon 20 5 6 9 -7 21
17 Metz 20 4 8 8 -10 20
18 Amiens 20 4 6 10 -16 18
19 Nimes 20 3 6 11 -18 15
20 Toulouse 20 3 3 14 -23 12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

2. Nov -19 Amiens – Brest 1–0

Match report

Brest Amiens
Half-time 1–0
1–0 A. Mendy
51′
Julien Faussurier 🟨
57′
58′
S. Guirassy 1–1
Alexandre Mendy 🟨
68′
S. Grandsir 🔁
↦ Y. Court
69′
74′
🟨 Gaël Kakuta
75′
🔁 F. Diabaté
↦ Q. Cornette
76′
🟨 Sehrou Guirassy
82′
🔁 C. Akolo
↦ G. Kakuta
M. Autret 🔁
↦ A. Mendy
83′
2–1 I. Cardona
C. Battocchio
83′
87′
🔁 M. Konaté
↦ A. Blin
89′
🟨 Thomas Monconduit
B. Chardonnet 🔁
↦ I. Cardona
90′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Brest

4-2-3-1
1 G. Larsonneur G
21 J. Castelletto D
18 R. Perraud D
2 J. Duverne D
22 J. Faussurier D
8 Y. Court M
11 C. Battocchio M
27 H. Magnetti M
10 G. Charbonnier M
15 A. Mendy F
14 I. Cardona M
Bench (7)
25 S. Grandsir
23 M. Autret
5 B. Chardonnet
19 F. N'Goma
24 Ludovic Baal
16 D. Léon
13 P. Lasne

Coach: O. Dall’Oglio

Amiens

4-2-3-1
1 R. Gurtner G
27 A. Chedjou D
14 H. Aleesami D
12 B. Dibassy D
3 A. Calabresi D
10 G. Kakuta M
6 T. Monconduit M
8 B. Zungu M
17 A. Blin M
29 Q. Cornette M
9 S. Guirassy F
Bench (7)
28 F. Diabaté
19 C. Akolo
15 M. Konaté
25 J. Lefort
13 C. Jallet
16 M. Dreyer
22 M. Talal

Coach: L. Elsner

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,09
U
3,37
B
3,59
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,09
U2,5
1,74
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

T Léonard · 142 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.