Ligue 1
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Brest
Amiens
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 0–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Paris SG
|
20 | 16 | 1 | 3 | +36 | 49 |
| 2 |
Marseille
|
21 | 12 | 6 | 3 | +9 | 42 |
| 3 |
Rennes
|
21 | 11 | 4 | 6 | +7 | 37 |
| 4 |
Nantes
|
20 | 10 | 2 | 8 | +1 | 32 |
| 5 |
Lille
|
20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | +2 | 31 |
| 6 |
Montpellier
|
20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | +8 | 30 |
| 7 |
Angers
|
21 | 8 | 6 | 7 | -2 | 30 |
| 8 |
Lyon
|
20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | +12 | 29 |
| 9 |
Reims
|
20 | 7 | 8 | 5 | +4 | 29 |
| 10 |
Monaco
|
20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | +2 | 29 |
| 11 |
Nice
|
21 | 8 | 5 | 8 | +1 | 29 |
| 12 |
Strasbourg
|
20 | 8 | 3 | 9 | -2 | 27 |
| 13 |
Bordeaux
|
20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | +5 | 26 |
| 14 |
Brest
|
20 | 6 | 7 | 7 | +0 | 25 |
| 15 |
St Etienne
|
20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | -9 | 25 |
| 16 |
Dijon
|
20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | -7 | 21 |
| 17 |
Metz
|
20 | 4 | 8 | 8 | -10 | 20 |
| 18 |
Amiens
|
20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | -16 | 18 |
| 19 |
Nimes
|
20 | 3 | 6 | 11 | -18 | 15 |
| 20 |
Toulouse
|
20 | 3 | 3 | 14 | -23 | 12 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
G. Larsonneur
G
R. Perraud
D
H. Magnetti
M
I. Cardona
M
Coach: O. Dall’Oglio
R. Gurtner
G
H. Aleesami
D
A. Calabresi
D
S. Guirassy
F
Coach: L. Elsner
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Toulouse
Brest
Montpellier
Brest
Brest
Nice
Lille
Brest
Brest
Strasbourg
T Léonard · 142 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.